🐻⬇️🏀

Fitchburg St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Fitchburg St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 945 (#475) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 962 (#418) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 930 (#635) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -14.4 (#306) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -18.1 (#656) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.234 (#640) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.4 More → 0.056 (#691) AdjNet -24.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.7 More → 0.054 (#692) AdjNet -24.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 83.6 More → 0.159 (#690) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 83.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 82.5 More → 0.295 (#673) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 82.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.230 (#639) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.237 (#642) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 914 (#462) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Rivier W 80 - 67
2025-11-11 vs VTSU Castleton W 81 - 79
2025-11-14 vs Dean W 93 - 81
2025-11-18 @ UMass Boston W 65 - 63
2025-11-21 vs MIT W 75 - 72
2025-11-25 vs WPI L 65 - 85
2025-11-30 @ Colby-Sawyer W 90 - 81
2025-12-03 @ Lasell L 63 - 88
2025-12-08 vs Emmanuel (MA) L 66 - 68
2025-12-10 vs Roger Williams L 78 - 92
2026-01-03 vs Regis (MA) L 68 - 71
2026-01-07 vs Bridgewater St. L 98 - 107
2026-01-10 vs Framingham St. L 71 - 75
2026-01-14 @ Worcester St. L 69 - 91
2026-01-17 vs Salem St. W 80 - 79
2026-01-21 @ Anna Maria W 87 - 79
2026-01-24 @ MCLA W 97 - 96
2026-01-28 vs Westfield St. L 72 - 84
2026-01-31 @ Bridgewater St. W 95 - 93
2026-02-04 @ Framingham St. L 74 - 83
2026-02-07 vs Worcester St. L 68 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Craig Williams - 1 40.0 31.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 15.0 22.0 -43 -3.3 -12.5 66.7 57.1 87.5 -1.32 83.7 80.0
Noah Beaudet - 1 36.0 27.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 17.0 -23 -1.3 -4.6 58.8 57.1 60.0 -1.2 70.3 70.6
Nathan Bledsoe - 1 27.0 26.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 18.0 105 5.8 21.9 63.6 77.8 100.0 -0.43 98.5 95.5
Will Radcliff - 1 37.0 26.0 16.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 20.0 20.0 -76 -4.0 -20.2 60.0 100.0 33.3 2.23 61.0 62.5
Vondre Chase - 1 40.0 24.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 25.0 -27 -2.1 -11.6 61.5 50.0 100.0 1.17 76.7 69.2
Ben Seiler - 1 32.0 24.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 18.0 7.0 -84 -4.7 -42.1 38.9 50.0 80.0 -3.38 59.4 55.6
Josh Campbell - 2 31.5 21.0 4.5 2.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 11.5 15.5 -43 -3.9 -13.7 56.5 0.0 84.2 -1.93 67.0 56.5
Jalen Jackson - 13 33.7 20.8 8.3 1.9 0.8 0.4 2.3 15.5 14.5 -3 -0.8 -1.6 50.0 28.2 70.7 0.61 56.9 52.7
Hayden Morris-Gray - 1 31.0 20.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 13.0 - - - 63.6 60.0 60.0 - 75.8 77.3
Louis Jennings - 2 30.5 16.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 11.5 13.5 -21 -1.4 -9.7 52.2 27.3 71.4 2.09 61.3 58.7
Zach Taylor - 2 31.0 16.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.5 10.5 -58 -3.9 -22.8 56.0 42.9 33.3 1.06 60.8 62.0
Mahari Guerrier - 1 31.0 16.0 15.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 18.0 -31 -1.8 -7.4 25.0 14.3 70.0 1.72 39.2 28.1
Sam Sweeney - 2 20.0 15.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 12.0 -13 -0.8 -4.2 64.7 60.0 100.0 2.61 84.6 82.4
Dante Kikuba - 1 39.0 15.0 2.0 12.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 21.0 -94 -5.9 -37.7 50.0 33.3 50.0 0.06 58.2 58.3
Chukwudi Okoli - 1 30.0 14.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 7.0 15.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 88.9 - 63.9 42.9
Joe Okla - 1 34.0 14.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 15.0 -1 -0.1 -0.2 66.7 0.0 100.0 0.4 70.9 66.7
Jack Bleier - 1 16.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 128 7.1 59.7 100.0 100.0 66.7 0.71 103.4 112.5
Joshua Jean Charles - 3 16.9 10.3 4.3 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.3 6.0 10.0 23 3.3 53.7 66.7 0 77.8 -2.25 70.6 66.7
Nicolas Von Zboray - 13 23.2 10.0 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.8 6.9 6.2 30 2.5 19.8 45.6 48.6 72.2 4.59 66.4 65.0
Sean Barclift - 1 36.0 10.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 18.0 - - - 57.1 0 40.0 - 54.3 57.1
Wellbi Perez Valera - 1 18.0 10.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 12.0 12 6.0 230.4 75.0 66.7 66.7 0.67 94.0 100.0
Joe Buxton - 1 29.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 -66 -3.7 -41.1 33.3 40.0 100.0 2.21 50.6 44.4
J.R. Newman - 1 34.0 9.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 9.0 101 5.6 22.6 37.5 20.0 100.0 -0.22 50.7 43.8
Caleb Dsouza - 1 35.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 1 0.2 2.3 42.9 50.0 0 -0.02 64.3 64.3
Domonick Victor - 1 11.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 -5 -0.7 -6.7 37.5 25.0 100.0 1.44 47.4 43.8
Takoma Rosario - 13 25.5 7.5 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.1 1.8 5.0 7.5 3 0.2 2.3 52.3 51.7 93.8 0.45 68.0 63.8
Nicholas Margetson - 1 30.0 7.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 100 5.6 27.2 50.0 0.0 100.0 -1.06 65.8 50.0
Xavier Smaltz - 4 15.4 6.5 3.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.0 5.2 3.0 -3 -0.3 -2.8 38.1 42.9 70.0 -2.01 51.2 45.2
Duvall Price - 10 15.0 6.3 3.1 0.7 0.5 1.1 1.0 4.9 5.8 2 0.2 3.9 36.7 15.4 71.4 -0.11 48.9 38.8
Matt Morvillo - 1 20.0 6.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 33 1.9 26.3 100.0 0 0.0 0.52 77.3 100.0
Cameron Snowden - 1 18.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 -43 -3.1 -14.0 25.0 0 66.7 0.21 45.2 25.0
Colby Burleson - 1 18.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 -34 -3.4 -20.6 50.0 50.0 0 -1.84 75.0 75.0
Ja'Quin Taylor - 1 17.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 8 1.0 12.6 28.6 33.3 0 1.63 42.9 42.9
Ayme Daguilh - 1 14.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 -73 -4.3 -39.2 33.3 50.0 0 -1.49 50.0 50.0
Ethan Daleba - 1 29.0 6.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 3.0 -92 -5.4 -42.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 -2.68 21.8 25.0
Thomas Engel-Chatten - 13 14.9 5.1 3.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.2 5.0 4.0 -30 -3.8 -21.4 35.4 18.2 75.0 -2.05 43.7 36.9
Jaiden Greene - 2 12.6 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -9 -3.0 -260.2 66.7 0.0 100.0 -0.72 72.7 66.7
Aidan Rock - 1 19.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -66 -4.7 -35.6 50.0 100.0 0 1.79 62.5 62.5
Abdoul Bah - 2 10.5 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.5 3.0 -112 -7.5 -85.1 57.1 25.0 0 -2.39 64.3 64.3
Jake Bluestein - 1 26.0 4.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 40.0 0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Johnny Annan - 1 23.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 -12 -0.7 -3.8 25.0 0 33.3 1.31 30.1 25.0
Elijah Maldonado - 1 33.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 -46 -2.6 -15.0 14.3 0.0 100.0 0.15 25.4 14.3
Zach Thompson - 1 12.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 -37 -1.9 -22.6 100.0 0 0 2.89 100.0 100.0
Anthony Joseph - 3 14.2 3.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.3 0.7 19 3.8 651.4 30.0 20.0 100.0 0.33 41.4 35.0
Jaxen Potter - 1 11.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1 0.1 0.6 33.3 50.0 0 2.27 50.0 50.0
Jeremiah Simeon - 13 12.2 2.8 1.8 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.9 2.7 1.6 -6 -0.6 -8.1 31.4 14.3 82.4 -1.56 43.5 32.9
Tyriek Williams - 11 10.0 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 1.9 1.1 -13 -1.6 -11.0 28.6 0.0 91.7 -1.9 43.8 28.6
Oliver Hibbard - 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4 0.3 7.8 0 0 100.0 -0.19 113.6 0
Alec Scarborough - 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 100.0 0.78 53.2 0.0
Camdyn Shoesmith - 1 11.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -78 -4.6 -39.7 33.3 0 0 -1.28 33.3 33.3
Adam Bilodeau - 1 16.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -77 -4.1 -27.3 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.76 30.1 0.0
Braedon White - 5 13.1 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 1.8 1.2 -15 -3.8 -18.5 33.3 0.0 75.0 -2.12 41.8 33.3
Hansy Jacques - 1 11.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -25 -1.7 -8.3 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.58 26.6 0.0
Tyrone Victor - 1 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -28 -2.8 -62.0 0.0 0 50.0 -1.02 17.4 0.0
Trevor Oliver - 7 6.2 0.9 1.3 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.1 1.1 2.7 20 2.9 54.5 37.5 0 0 1.76 37.5 37.5
Yovanny Lopez - 3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Jasiah Hyson - 3 1.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jackson Owens - 3 3.8 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Adam Patterson - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0.75 0 0
Joe Pebley - 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -20 -2.0 -152.9 0 0 0 -1.72 0 0
Yigit Sari - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.4 218.2 0 0 0 0.24 0 0
Antonio Perez - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Danny Adams - 1 14.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -6.0 8 0.4 1.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.24 0.0 0.0
Ryan Rangel - 1 9.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 -41 -2.3 -13.4 0.0 0.0 0 -2.59 0.0 0.0
Jacob Williams - 1 13.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2 -0.2 -3.7 0.0 0 0 0.34 0.0 0.0
Miles Sales - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Colin Quinn - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -32 -2.7 -15.2 0 0 0 -0.93 0 0
Fallou Koite - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -51 -3.9 -23.4 0.0 0.0 0 -1.38 0.0 0.0
Makyle Hayes - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -39 -3.2 -80.8 0.0 0 0 -0.9 0.0 0.0
Matthew Manley - 1 7.8 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -3 -3.0 -200.0 0.0 0 0 -0.57 0.0 0.0
Harry King - 1 9.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -1.0 -5 -0.8 -8.6 0.0 0 0 1.64 0.0 0.0
Conner McKearin - 1 20.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 -94 -5.2 -33.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.94 0.0 0.0
Dyvan Hevey - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG