Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#431) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 979 (#406) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.0 (#470) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.084 (#539) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.206 (#546) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.206 (#547) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.313 (#544) | AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 83.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.436 (#411) | AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 79.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.324 (#443) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.338 (#440) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 834 (#437) | RD 346 | GP 2 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-17 | vs | Edward Waters | L | 55 - 74 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | UAH | L | 78 - 93 |
| 2023-11-20 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2023-12-10 | @ | Miles | L | 50 - 62 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Burnett | - | 1 | 26.0 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | -38 | -7.6 | -24.8 | 47.1 | 43.8 | 100.0 | 0.13 | 71.0 | 67.6 |
| Goliath Mitchell | - | 1 | 26.0 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | -21 | -3.5 | -15.9 | 53.8 | 33.3 | 90.0 | 0.05 | 69.0 | 57.7 |
| Chris Martin | - | 1 | 29.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 45 | 6.4 | 10.8 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 1.75 | 51.3 | 46.7 |
| Tommy Murr | - | 1 | 26.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -28 | -5.6 | -16.1 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 0.54 | 73.8 | 70.0 |
| Alvin Miles | - | 1 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 41.7 | 75.0 | 83.3 | 0.57 | 61.5 | 54.2 |
| Jalen Williams | - | 1 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -10 | -3.3 | -63.8 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.88 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Navaughn Maise | - | 1 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -1043.5 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.77 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Andrew Stewart | - | 1 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 41 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 33.3 | 44.4 | 66.7 | 1.79 | 52.6 | 50.0 |
| Elijah Stewart | - | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | -10 | -2.5 | -10.9 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.04 | 56.8 | 54.5 |
| Mykayle Carter | - | 1 | 31.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -11 | -1.8 | -3.3 | 36.4 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 0.44 | 54.7 | 50.0 |
| Truitt Spencer | - | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -9 | -1.5 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.35 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Corey Trotter | - | 1 | 36.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 42 | 2.8 | 11.6 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.66 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Shemani Fuller | - | 1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -20 | -2.9 | -7.2 | 71.4 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.35 | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Daniel Saylor | - | 1 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -28 | -5.6 | -26.9 | 57.1 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.09 | 60.1 | 57.1 |
| Jack Kostel | - | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | -36 | -7.2 | -22.0 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.13 | 63.3 | 60.0 |
| Xavier Griffith | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 35 | 5.0 | 20.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.64 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Isaac Chatman | - | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -32 | -6.4 | -29.7 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 64.3 | 70.0 |
| Tanner Shulman | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -14 | -2.8 | -14.7 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.06 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Dalton Dodd | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -7 | -1.4 | -7.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Dane Harding | - | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | -8 | -1.6 | -6.4 | 0 | 0 | 80.0 | 0.14 | 90.9 | 0 |
| Nylan Thomas | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 14 | 3.5 | 35.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Demetrius Headspeth | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 19 | 3.2 | 13.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Matthew Thurman | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 76 | 6.9 | 709.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -1.03 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Rylen Walker | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -14 | -2.8 | -5.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.23 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Khalid Pogue | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.45 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Auston Leslie | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -1.2 | -26.6 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Kharye Cayne | - | 1 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 11 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.46 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jalen Nesmith | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 26 | 3.7 | 8.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.97 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Elijah Horton | - | 1 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| Vernon Nash III | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Will Amonett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Amonett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 3.0 | 53.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Hamilton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 2.6 | 173.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Graham Martin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 1.4 | 195.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Parks McLain | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -1.0 | -13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Hargrove | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| T'Micah Jones | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.73 | 0 | 0 |
| Silas Mason | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Matthews | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Garrick Baines | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| James-Chase Ballard | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 23 | 4.6 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.86 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Todd Burt | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17 | 4.2 | 20.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chase Cook | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Roger Davis | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 139 | 7.3 | 25.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.96 | 0 | 0 |
| D'Mari Johnson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | 8.0 | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Latty | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kayne Moreland | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrese Myrick | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 3.0 | 26.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarrell Rosser | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | 1.6 | 24.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Solomon Campbell | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Amari Floyd | - | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -36 | -3.6 | -28.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Trevino Glover | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -18 | -4.5 | -9.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG