Fisher College Eagles
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 782 (#1071) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 740 (#1101) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 974 (#454) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -33.3 (#1072) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -35.0 (#583) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.264 (#584) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 74.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.063 (#584) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.088 (#584) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 772 (#564) | RD 335 | GP 3 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-12-06 | @ | Maine Black Bears | L | 42 - 97 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L | 49 - 95 |
| 2013-01-30 | @ | NJIT Highlanders | L | 69 - 108 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Shular
|
- | 3 | 26.0 | 12.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.2 | 268.9 | 50.0 |
D. Hines
|
- | 2 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 13.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 252.7 | 125.0 |
R. McCorkle
|
- | 3 | 25.3 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 7.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.98 | 91.7 | 41.7 |
C. Green
|
- | 3 | 24.7 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.54 | 142.9 | 21.4 |
K. Murphy
|
- | 3 | 24.7 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 119 | 3.6 | 8.4 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.85 | 121.4 | 50.0 |
L. Tavares
|
- | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG