Ferrum
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 911 (#442) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 867 (#465) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 845 (#657) | - |
| Margin | -7.0 (#233) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency | -5.1 (#441) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean | 0.367 (#418) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.256 (#486) | AdjO 95.3 | AdjD 104.5 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.252 (#493) | AdjO 93.6 | AdjD 102.9 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.381 (#481) | AdjO 55.9 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.384 (#544) | AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.278 (#539) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.289 (#541) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.160 (#528) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 828 (#443) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | USC Beaufort | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Chowan | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Concord | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Bluefield St. | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Erskine | W | 83 - 61 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | N.C. A&T | L | 39 - 84 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Bluefield St. | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Converse | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 38 - 67 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Francis Marion | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Chowan | L | 44 - 48 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Lees-McRae | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Barton | L | 48 - 65 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | King (TN) | L | 56 - 74 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Shorter | W | 63 - 61 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.