Farmingdale St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1083 (#91) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 930 (#427) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1080 (#117) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -18.4 (#346) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#370) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.618 (#391) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.665 (#294) | NetEff +4.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.083 (#555) | AdjNet -20.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.068 (#567) | AdjNet -22.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.203 (#579) | AdjO 53.6 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.611 (#220) | AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 58.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.525 (#363) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.548 (#339) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1115 (#141) | RD 147 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | W | 62 - 57 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Manhattanville | L | 41 - 74 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Merchant Marine | L | 47 - 61 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 78 - 68 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Sarah Lawrence | W | 86 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Simmons | - | 5 | 31.1 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 14.2 | 3.8 | 43 | 2.5 | 18.6 | 35.2 | 15.8 | 75.0 | 2.22 | 42.6 | 37.3 |
| Alexandria Walbroehl | - | 5 | 24.7 | 12.4 | 8.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 12.6 | 9.0 | 63 | 3.3 | 26.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 76.9 | 1.21 | 41.6 | 33.3 |
| Shyann Parker | - | 5 | 34.5 | 8.6 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 7.8 | 10.8 | 77 | 3.9 | 29.2 | 48.7 | 0 | 55.6 | 2.6 | 50.0 | 48.7 |
| Samyah Allen | - | 5 | 26.5 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 26 | 1.4 | 16.4 | 42.5 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.79 | 47.6 | 42.5 |
| Brianna Amenta | - | 5 | 23.3 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 31 | 1.6 | 19.3 | 36.1 | 23.5 | 75.0 | 1.58 | 47.2 | 41.7 |
| Emily Tsiforas | - | 5 | 29.3 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 67 | 3.5 | 28.7 | 28.9 | 14.3 | 64.3 | 0.52 | 35.2 | 30.0 |
| Alana Henry | - | 5 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.2 | 8.8 | 28.6 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.16 | 34.0 | 28.6 |
| Allison Ntambwe | - | 3 | 13.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -6.2 | 37.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Anayah Lloyd | - | 5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 23 | 1.2 | 21.8 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.34 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Nia Phillips | - | 4 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | -0.5 | 12 | 0.7 | 32.8 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 12.7 | 14.3 |
| Julia Koprowski | - | 2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 13 | 2.2 | 30.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kelsie Feingold | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -4 | -0.8 | -128.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG