🐻⬇️🏀

Fairleigh Dickinson

Also known as: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 882 (#698) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 994 (#329) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 851 (#635) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +13.9 (#346) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -2.3 (#378) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 76.9 More → 0.348 (#611) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 76.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.320 (#452) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.307 (#490) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 176 | GP 23 More → 690 (#647) RD 176 | GP 23

2022 Schedule & Results

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Morales A. Morales - 2 36.0 22.0 8.5 3.5 2.5 0.0 2.5 12.0 22.0 220 8.5 10.4 45.8 40.0 25.0 0.8 85.4 50.0
W. Martinez W. Martinez G 2 26.0 17.5 3.5 5.0 1.0 0.5 3.0 6.5 18.0 191 7.3 10.9 69.2 100.0 50.0 1.15 118.6 73.1
E. Ford E. Ford G 1 25.0 16.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 29.0 196 10.9 16.0 0 0 0 1.53 0 0
B. Rush B. Rush - 20 27.1 14.2 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.1 2.0 4.9 12.6 - - - 39.8 21.6 88.6 -1.07 125.7 43.9
R. Rogers R. Rogers F 2 26.0 12.5 6.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 17.0 218 8.1 14.2 66.7 0 60.0 1.63 152.4 66.7
N. Opoku N. Opoku F 1 31.0 12.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 24.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.53 0 0
D. Dunn D. Dunn - 19 27.8 10.0 1.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 1.9 3.1 9.6 -49 -2.1 -19.7 39.7 42.4 69.2 0.77 149.1 51.7
A. Hill A. Hill - 21 24.7 8.8 5.3 1.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9 14.0 -183 -7.0 -11.6 46.2 16.7 57.1 -0.75 219.8 47.4
John Mikey Square John Mikey Square NA 20 22.6 8.6 4.8 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.8 13.9 - - - 55.6 33.3 72.2 - 194.7 56.9
A. Yetna A. Yetna F 1 21.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 94 3.0 5.1 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.77 71.7 62.5
Oscar Berry Oscar Berry G 19 20.3 6.3 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.7 1.3 8.5 -66 -3.0 -5.8 41.7 27.3 100.0 0.0 243.5 47.9
T. Mitchell T. Mitchell G 3 26.7 6.0 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 8.7 - - - 0 0 0 0.72 0 0
Sebastien Lamaute Sebastien Lamaute - 23 19.8 5.4 2.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.6 1.3 7.2 -157 -6.0 -11.7 36.7 20.0 83.3 -0.95 175.7 41.7
N. Jackson N. Jackson F 1 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 33 2.4 7.9 0 0 0 0.79 0 0
Joe Munden Jr. Joe Munden Jr. - 20 19.1 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.8 0.1 1.6 1.9 6.5 -176 -8.4 -17.8 27.0 14.3 58.8 -1.53 112.4 28.4
I. Wattara I. Wattara - 20 10.5 4.2 2.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.1 5.0 - - - 30.4 0.0 62.5 -0.55 156.5 30.4
Ansley Almonor Ansley Almonor F 18 10.1 3.8 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 5.2 -57 -2.4 -9.7 50.0 16.7 0 -0.28 246.4 53.6
M. Iuzzolino M. Iuzzolino - 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Rodriguez D. Rodriguez - 17 7.7 2.1 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 3.4 - - - 38.5 100.0 50.0 -0.31 118.6 46.2
A. Miller A. Miller G 1 17.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 60 5.5 15.1 0 0 0 0.58 0 0
P. Racine P. Racine - 18 8.4 1.7 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.3 - - - 38.9 0.0 60.0 - 74.3 38.9
A. Jacks A. Jacks - 20 10.8 1.6 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.1 0.7 3.0 -141 -5.9 -20.3 23.1 25.0 0.0 -1.38 115.3 26.9
R. Ford Jr. R. Ford Jr. - 15 6.9 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.9 0.7 2.0 130 4.6 9.8 30.0 50.0 50.0 1.59 110.3 40.0
Z. Newkirk Z. Newkirk NA 2 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -111 -6.2 -15.8 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
Robby Phillips Robby Phillips G 6 4.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Upshaw B. Upshaw - 11 2.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 -1 -0.1 -1.2 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.11 77.3 33.3
S. Xheraj S. Xheraj G 8 2.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 100.0 0.0
A. Lafond A. Lafond G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Thompson K. Thompson G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 180 5.8 9.3 0.0 0 0 0.94 0.0 0.0
R. Miller R. Miller G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -101 -3.5 -4.5 0 0 0 1.71 0 0
J. Berry III J. Berry III G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -69 -3.5 -6.8 0 0 0 1.34 0 0
S. Granda S. Granda G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Dwyer B. Dwyer - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
C. McGahren C. McGahren - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG