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Fairfield

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2014
Also known as: Fairfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1010 (#369) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1019 (#357) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 991 (#515) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +36.0 (#33) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#26) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.0 More → 0.981 (#72) AdjNet +34.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.8 More → 0.984 (#69) AdjNet +33.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 62.0 More → 0.907 (#88) AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 62.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 94.1 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.875 (#8) AdjO 94.1 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.872 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.856 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-22 vs CCNY W 121 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Braden Sparks - 1 20.6 26.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 15.0 - - - 52.9 54.5 100.0 - 72.7 70.6
Declan Wucherpfennig - 1 23.8 20.0 13.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 23.0 - - - 60.0 25.0 100.0 - 64.8 63.3
Halon Rawlins - 1 19.3 13.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 - - - 55.6 66.7 50.0 - 65.8 66.7
Deuce Turner - 1 15.7 11.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 42.9 100.0 - 55.7 50.0
Nasir Rodriguez - 1 14.3 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 2.0 9 0.8 40.3 33.3 33.3 100.0 -0.33 50.6 44.4
Tony Williams - 1 20.1 10.0 4.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 17.0 92 4.2 47.5 60.0 0.0 100.0 1.34 74.0 60.0
Cam Estevez - 1 6.5 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 100.0 - 90.2 83.3
Isaac Munkadi - 1 25.4 7.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 5.0 18.0 - - - 60.0 0 25.0 - 51.8 60.0
Ryan Zan - 1 18.1 7.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Eric Mejia - 1 15.4 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 45.2 0.0
Joe Ganton - 1 4.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Tanner Ostop - 1 3.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Luke Davidson - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Michael Rogan - 1 8.1 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG