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Fairfield

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2014
Also known as: Fairfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1010 (#372) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1024 (#350) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 991 (#515) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +36.0 (#33) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#26) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.0 More → 0.981 (#72) AdjNet +34.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.8 More → 0.984 (#69) AdjNet +33.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 62.0 More → 0.907 (#88) AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 62.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 94.1 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.875 (#8) AdjO 94.1 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.872 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.856 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 293 | GP 1 More → 1047 (#294) RD 293 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-22 vs CCNY - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.