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FDU

Season: 2026 2019 2018
Also known as: FDU
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1039 (#219) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1084 (#180) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1017 (#310) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +58.4 (#12) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +98.0 More → 1.000 (#2) NetEff +98.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +91.6 More → 1.000 (#1) AdjNet +91.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +91.9 More → 1.000 (#2) AdjNet +91.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 33.5 More → 0.986 (#14) AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 33.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 51.0 More → 0.885 (#25) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 51.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.989 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.983 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 291 | GP 1 More → 1139 (#111) RD 291 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-20 vs Ursinus - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.