Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1055 (#171) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1093 (#149) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1010 (#362) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.2 (#99) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.998 (#106) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.969 (#115) | AdjNet +29.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.970 (#119) | AdjNet +29.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.898 (#99) | AdjO 91.4 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.758 (#56) | AdjO 79.6 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.860 (#47) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.842 (#49) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1133 (#126) | RD 291 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | W | 100 - 58 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Lehman | W | 76 - 42 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Melson | - | 2 | 23.1 | 16.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 43.8 | 83.3 | - | 70.7 | 67.5 |
| Cyril Martynov | - | 2 | 22.5 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 0 | 83.3 | - | 62.4 | 57.9 |
| Arthur Cox | - | 1 | 15.9 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 83.3 | - | 88.7 | 83.3 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | - | 2 | 25.8 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 12.0 | -91 | -4.5 | -34.6 | 53.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.86 | 57.5 | 57.7 |
| Joey Niesman | - | 2 | 24.8 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Eric Parnell | - | 2 | 21.1 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 35.7 | 0 | - | 46.9 | 46.9 |
| Raysean Johnson | - | 2 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 148 | 7.0 | 37.4 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 4.02 | 47.0 | 46.4 |
| David Jevtic | - | 2 | 13.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 25.0 | 80.0 | - | 42.8 | 34.6 |
| Josiah Francis | - | 2 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 33.3 | 83.3 | - | 56.4 | 43.8 |
| Ras Elijah Godbolt | - | 2 | 15.2 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 50.0 | - | 79.9 | 83.3 |
| Sebastian Haubro | - | 2 | 9.9 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 84.0 | 66.7 |
| Cole Alexander | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler McQuaid | - | 2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG