Fairleigh Dickinson
Model Outputs
1997-1998
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1136 (#86) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1160 (#56) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1115 (#42) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.2 (#96) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.9 (#82) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.768 (#35) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.649 (#114) | AdjNet +5.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.649 (#114) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.618 (#92) | AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.658 (#40) | AdjO 81.3 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.673 (#76) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.681 (#72) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1112 (#83) | RD 122 | GP 29 |
1998 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997-11-18 | @ | Maryland | L | 70 - 81 |
| 1997-11-22 | vs | Hartford | W | 76 - 66 |
| 1997-11-29 | vs | Manhattan | W | 70 - 66 |
| 1997-12-01 | vs | Wagner | W | 86 - 77 |
| 1997-12-03 | @ | Youngstown State | W | 75 - 69 |
| 1997-12-09 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 65 - 67 |
| 1997-12-14 | @ | Saint Peter's | W | 84 - 76 |
| 1997-12-22 | vs | Milwaukee | W | 91 - 77 |
| 1997-12-30 | @ | Maine | W | 93 - 72 |
| 1998-01-03 | vs | Robert Morris | L | 76 - 85 |
| 1998-01-05 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 87 - 79 |
| 1998-01-08 | vs | Long Island University | W | 110 - 100 |
| 1998-01-10 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 72 - 69 |
| 1998-01-14 | @ | Central Connecticut State | W | 98 - 86 |
| 1998-01-17 | @ | Monmouth | W | 85 - 57 |
| 1998-01-22 | @ | Saint Joseph's | L | 74 - 78 |
| 1998-01-24 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | W | 90 - 77 |
| 1998-01-31 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 71 - 67 |
| 1998-02-02 | @ | Long Island University | L | 82 - 86 |
| 1998-02-05 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 74 - 63 |
| 1998-02-07 | @ | Robert Morris | W | 88 - 79 |
| 1998-02-11 | vs | Central Connecticut State | W | 97 - 69 |
| 1998-02-14 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | L | 77 - 84 |
| 1998-02-19 | vs | Monmouth | W | 82 - 65 |
| 1998-02-21 | @ | Wagner | W | 102 - 91 |
| 1998-02-26 | N | Robert Morris | W | 89 - 73 |
| 1998-02-27 | N | Wagner | W | 78 - 49 |
| 1998-03-02 | N | Long Island University | W | 105 - 91 |
| 1998-03-12 | N | Connecticut | L | 85 - 93 |
1998 Roster
No roster data available for this season.