Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 956 (#232) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 845 (#311) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 834 (#734) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.3 (#315) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.0 (#674) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.214 (#343) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.075 (#344) | AdjNet -21.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.071 (#344) | AdjNet -22.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.191 (#341) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 81.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.263 (#702) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 81.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.165 (#701) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.172 (#701) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 767 (#571) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | TCNJ | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Wm. Paterson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | John Jay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Medgar Evers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Ursinus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Stevenson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Moravian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Hunter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | DeSales | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | King's (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Delaware Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Misericordia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Lebanon Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Stevens | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Arcadia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | King's (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Lebanon Valley | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Misericordia | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Arcadia | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Stevens | L | 73 - 87 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.