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Evergreen State Geoducks

Also known as: Evergreen State Geoducks
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 998 (#210) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -26.0 (#869) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -19.4 (#566) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.459 (#434) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 69.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.140 (#591) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.192 (#582) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 908 (#441) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-12 @ Portland State Vikings L 44 - 100

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Jean-Marie J. Jean-Marie F 1 20.0 15.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 19.0 -58 -4.1 -6.5 0 0 0 -0.88 0 0
G. Nelson G. Nelson G 1 15.0 13.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 110 3.8 6.0 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
M. Wetmore M. Wetmore - 1 21.0 12.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Price L. Price - 1 36.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
M. Hernandez M. Hernandez - 1 20.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Lewis G. Lewis - 1 17.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Curry A. Curry - 1 28.0 4.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Morton J. Morton - 1 15.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Kennedy L. Kennedy - 1 17.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Washington C. Washington - 1 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 67 2.4 4.2 0 0 0 0.68 0 0
K. Holt K. Holt G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Z. Jones Z. Jones - 1 34.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.68 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG