Evergreen St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 955 (#456) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 940 (#443) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 978 (#559) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.0 (#542) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.119 (#722) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.070 (#673) | AdjNet -22.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.068 (#673) | AdjNet -22.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.177 (#673) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 86.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.460 (#487) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.361 (#531) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.383 (#514) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 887 (#498) | RD 342 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | L | 73 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dom Perasso | - | 1 | 33.0 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | -77 | -3.9 | -14.9 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 1.38 | 59.1 | 53.1 |
| Charlie Kapranos | - | 1 | 37.0 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -1.33 | 75.9 | 72.2 |
| Ben Tellez | - | 1 | 24.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | -47 | -2.4 | -7.8 | 38.5 | 40.0 | 62.5 | -0.81 | 51.5 | 46.2 |
| Caleb Berry | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -131 | -6.5 | -25.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.49 | 45.2 | 0.0 |
| Henry Smith | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | 63 | 3.1 | 11.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.03 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Shaun Burton | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 7.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.6 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Cam Rice | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -29 | -1.5 | -10.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.31 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mack Hepper | - | 1 | 34.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -50 | -2.9 | -21.7 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.61 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Jeremiah Sibley | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 69 | 5.8 | 298.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.54 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG