Evergreen St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 978 (#242) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 857 (#492) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 953 (#477) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.0 (#295) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.3 (#511) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.015 (#624) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.074 (#646) | AdjNet -21.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.072 (#648) | AdjNet -21.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.174 (#645) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 90.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.326 (#522) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 80.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.182 (#541) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.202 (#538) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 757 (#479) | RD 283 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 58 - 85 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 48 - 80 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Seattle Pacific | L | 76 - 90 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Saint Martin's | L | 53 - 107 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Central Wash. | L | 72 - 92 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garret Long | - | 5 | 26.8 | 15.2 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 43.3 | 31.2 | 73.1 | - | 53.2 | 47.5 |
| Jamoi Davis | - | 2 | 21.8 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 24 | 1.3 | 10.2 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 1.54 | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Jerry Boston | - | 5 | 15.2 | 6.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.2 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 57.6 | 53.8 |
| Daniel Thomas | - | 5 | 18.7 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 1.4 | 22 | 1.1 | 16.1 | 32.5 | 13.0 | 50.0 | 0.29 | 37.5 | 36.2 |
| Zach Jefferson | - | 5 | 17.8 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 50.0 | 70.0 | - | 53.0 | 47.7 |
| Bradley Graham | - | 5 | 23.6 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 5.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 18.2 | 75.0 | - | 43.2 | 34.6 |
| Nathan Behr | - | 3 | 13.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | - | 48.4 | 31.2 |
| Tyler No | - | 5 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 30.0 | 100.0 | - | 47.2 | 43.3 |
| Jacob Laff | - | 5 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.6 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 18.2 | 0 | - | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Nick Gutierrez | - | 4 | 12.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 37.2 | 33.3 |
| Kohrey Bridges | - | 5 | 12.4 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 40.0 | 35.7 |
| Solomon Campbell | - | 1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG