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Evangel

Season: 2026 2024 2023 2020 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Evangel
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 957 (#392) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 909 (#425) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 965 (#534) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +7.2 (#246) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.170 (#502) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.4 More → 0.179 (#371) NetEff -11.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.2 More → 0.495 (#408) AdjNet -0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.523 (#403) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.485 (#424) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 69.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.525 (#298) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.567 (#297) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.547 (#306) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 290 | GP 2 More → 807 (#463) RD 290 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-29 @ Central Mo. L 69 - 83
2025-12-16 @ Central Okla. L 65 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ali Kamies - 2 29.6 14.0 4.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.5 13.5 5.5 - - - 33.3 42.9 87.5 - 45.9 38.9
Heaven Shockley - 2 34.6 13.0 9.0 3.0 1.5 4.5 2.0 18.0 11.0 - - - 25.0 40.0 75.0 - 32.9 27.8
Carson Dillard - 2 23.6 11.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 5.5 7.0 - - - 54.5 50.0 77.8 - 76.9 72.7
Lydia Babirye - 2 20.7 10.0 7.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 2.5 13.0 3.5 - - - 34.6 0.0 40.0 - 35.5 34.6
Cassidy Hambelton - 2 27.3 7.0 5.0 0.5 4.5 0.5 3.5 7.0 7.0 - - - 35.7 16.7 75.0 - 44.4 39.3
Brooklyn Kearbey - 2 12.3 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.5 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 44.4 44.4
Alyssa McCarty - 2 15.1 3.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 50.0 - 35.9 31.2
Kamie Jenkins - 2 12.4 2.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.0 - - - 16.7 0 100.0 - 29.1 16.7
Mae Mae Gilmore - 1 1.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Ellison Mehrhoff - 2 9.3 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Emma Mullings - 2 9.4 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Morgan Ross - 1 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brooke Daniels - 1 2.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ashton Bell - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61 2.9 12.3 0 0 0 2.53 0 0
Evin Montgomery - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG