Eureka College Red Devils
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#428) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.9 (#849) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.7 (#484) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.460 (#394) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.287 (#455) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.311 (#448) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 778 (#561) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-12-13 | @ | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L | 64 - 92 |
| 2012-12-17 | @ | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L | 74 - 77 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Lessen
|
- | 2 | 28.5 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 29.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 |
D. Fritsch
|
- | 2 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | -71 | -2.7 | -5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
J. Kindred
|
G | 2 | 33.5 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 13.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
J. Fehr
|
- | 2 | 18.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
R. Nailor
|
- | 2 | 30.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG