Erskine
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 874 (#488) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 870 (#639) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.6 (#630) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.922 (#220) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.431 (#379) | NetEff -1.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.226 (#480) | AdjNet -10.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.209 (#481) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.323 (#490) | AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.363 (#572) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.205 (#594) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.223 (#588) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 789 (#495) | RD 243 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Warren Wilson | L | 82 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany Wilson | - | 1 | 32.1 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 35 | 2.2 | 47.6 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 44.4 | -0.36 | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| Ahrianna Scott | - | 1 | 29.5 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 20 | 2.9 | 1411.8 | 45.0 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 52.7 | 52.5 |
| Kaela Ward | - | 1 | 36.9 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 74.0 | 70.0 |
| Jayla Dendy | - | 1 | 14.5 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Janiya Adams | - | 1 | 30.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 18.2 | 18.2 |
| Genesis Young | - | 1 | 21.9 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 26.0 | 25.0 |
| Talasha Walker | - | 1 | 14.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -7.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Suniyah Rollins | - | 1 | 16.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Courtney Baldwin | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -34 | -4.9 | -190.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG