Erskine
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 687 (#542) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 606 (#544) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 738 (#602) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -25.7 (#391) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -27.7 (#564) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.103 (#525) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.422 (#255) | NetEff -3.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.088 (#628) | AdjNet -20.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.087 (#628) | AdjNet -20.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.207 (#623) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 79.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.107 (#600) | AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.066 (#592) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.067 (#596) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 555 (#517) | RD 122 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | The Citadel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Paine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Wofford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Lander | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | USC Aiken | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | UNC Pembroke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Lees-McRae | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Roberts | - | 1 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -74.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 80.0 | -1.24 | 73.2 | 66.7 |
| Dorien Johnson | - | 17 | 21.1 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 40.3 | 34.5 | 65.0 | -0.76 | 51.0 | 49.7 |
| Max Peeler | - | 17 | 32.5 | 9.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 2.6 | -305 | -17.9 | -87.1 | 32.9 | 32.9 | 65.0 | -5.14 | 49.2 | 47.8 |
| Jonah Lawrence | - | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | -32 | -2.0 | -40.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 87.5 | 0.02 | 81.5 | 50.0 |
| KD Gordon | - | 16 | 21.1 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 6.0 | -207 | -12.9 | -78.7 | 44.2 | 36.4 | 78.7 | -1.81 | 60.5 | 53.5 |
| MJ Legette | - | 17 | 20.3 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 41.9 | 41.2 | 75.6 | -3.16 | 60.0 | 54.1 |
| Ruben Salazar | - | 11 | 27.3 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 7.8 | 5.1 | -65 | -5.9 | -26.8 | 40.7 | 6.2 | 31.6 | -0.27 | 40.8 | 41.3 |
| Mccaskill Rivers | - | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -42 | -3.0 | -46.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -1.83 | 42.7 | 33.3 |
| Noah Castaneda | - | 17 | 22.3 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5.5 | 4.9 | -78 | -4.9 | -24.9 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 63.3 | -4.08 | 44.3 | 40.4 |
| Andrei Kyle Honrada | - | 17 | 15.1 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 1.4 | -113 | -7.1 | -46.6 | 35.5 | 17.4 | 63.6 | -0.31 | 40.2 | 38.2 |
| Valerian Bruce | - | 9 | 16.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 3.6 | -46 | -5.1 | -61.3 | 32.1 | 25.0 | 87.5 | 0.32 | 44.4 | 37.5 |
| Kee Linney | - | 16 | 14.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | -138 | -8.6 | -84.4 | 36.4 | 10.0 | 40.0 | -3.67 | 39.3 | 38.6 |
| Cam Moss | - | 17 | 10.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 28.9 | 17.9 | 40.0 | -0.4 | 35.0 | 34.4 |
| Josiah Peeples | - | 11 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | -0.2 | -7 | -0.7 | -17.3 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 0.54 | 40.4 | 32.5 |
| Jed Moor | - | 17 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 14 | 0.9 | 18.1 | 22.7 | 26.3 | 0.0 | 1.49 | 32.8 | 34.1 |
| Raquavian Jones | - | 7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 36.3 | 25.0 |
| Quintel Johnson | - | 11 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -5 | -0.7 | -137.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 57.9 | 66.7 |
| Ryan Seagrave | - | 14 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | -68 | -5.2 | -308.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.11 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Zack Mathis | - | 3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Curtis Bowser, Jr. | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 1.7 | 378.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Chedlet Delva | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -51 | -3.6 | -72.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG