Erskine
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 592 (#298) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 541 (#298) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 738 (#602) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -24.4 (#296) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -27.7 (#564) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.103 (#292) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.422 (#248) | NetEff -3.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.088 (#295) | AdjNet -20.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.087 (#295) | AdjNet -20.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.207 (#294) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 79.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.107 (#600) | AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.066 (#592) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.067 (#596) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 555 (#517) | RD 122 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | The Citadel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Anderson (SC) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Newberry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Paine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Wofford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | UNC Pembroke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-10 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | King (TN) | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Converse | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2026-02-16 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 42 - 78 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Lees-McRae | L | 45 - 46 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Chowan | L | 44 - 92 |
| 2026-02-23 | vs | Paine | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | Shorter | L | 64 - 72 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.