Endicott
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1429 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1381 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1222 (#7) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +5.8 (#51) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.3 (#329) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.767 (#54) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.567 (#89) | AdjNet +2.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.563 (#88) | AdjNet +2.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.545 (#82) | AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.656 (#140) | AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 73.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.722 (#180) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.725 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1384 (#4) | RD 127 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | John Jay | W | 92 - 66 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Baruch | W | 99 - 73 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | MIT | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Tufts | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Nichols | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Southern Me. | W | 100 - 80 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Colby | L | 89 - 93 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Regis (MA) | W | 77 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wentworth | W | 91 - 56 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 99 - 84 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Salem St. | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Curry | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Western New Eng. | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Hartford | W | 92 - 83 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Gordon | W | 86 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Suffolk | W | 69 - 44 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Curry | W | 84 - 76 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wentworth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Nichols | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Roger Williams | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | JWU (Providence) | W | 102 - 80 |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | U New England | W | 103 - 72 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Hartford | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2026-02-17 | @ | Suffolk | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Roger Williams | W | 81 - 65 |
| 2026-02-27 | vs | Nichols | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2026-03-01 | vs | Western New Eng. | W | 87 - 66 |
| 2026-03-06 | vs | Neumann | W | 96 - 82 |
| 2026-03-07 | vs | Cortland | W | 58 - 57 |
| 2026-03-13 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 77 - 83 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Montagnino | - | 28 | 34.0 | 22.5 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 14.5 | 20.2 | - | - | - | - | 57.5 | 36.4 | 80.0 | - | 65.4 | 60.5 |
| Elijah Kinney | - | 25 | 29.5 | 20.8 | 11.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 13.6 | 22.0 | - | - | - | - | 55.7 | 35.2 | 82.8 | - | 64.1 | 58.5 |
| Caden Sullivan | - | 25 | 29.6 | 10.9 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 9.3 | - | - | - | - | 43.1 | 36.0 | 87.7 | - | 59.0 | 53.2 |
| Matt Boen | - | 23 | 26.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 8.7 | - | - | - | - | 47.1 | 32.9 | 63.2 | - | 57.5 | 54.8 |
| AJ Forte | - | 12 | 21.6 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 7.1 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 42.4 | 44.1 | 57.1 | - | 60.2 | 60.0 |
| Jeff Hill | - | 28 | 21.2 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.1 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 31.0 | 29.7 | 69.0 | - | 39.4 | 35.8 |
| Cam Keliher | - | 25 | 22.8 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 37.2 | 38.7 | 63.6 | - | 53.7 | 52.6 |
| Andrew Mitchell | - | 18 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 37.7 | 35.7 | 69.2 | - | 48.7 | 45.9 |
| Joey DaSilva | - | 20 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 34.4 | 70.0 | - | 52.0 | 48.6 |
| Max Grenert | - | 22 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 34.9 | 35.5 | 71.4 | - | 49.9 | 47.7 |
| Liam Dunfee | - | 25 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 47.4 | 33.3 | 61.1 | - | 52.3 | 48.7 |
| Jason Romans | - | 19 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 59.9 | 60.0 |
| Thomas Hunt | - | 2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jack Lewis | - | 12 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 62.5 | - | 61.3 | 50.0 |
| Carter Koenig | - | 20 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 16.7 | 0.0 | - | 42.7 | 45.8 |
| Reece Goodman | - | 15 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 90.0 | 90.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG