Emporia St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1111 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1037 (#214) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1021 (#236) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.7 (#159) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.3 (#210) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.403 (#399) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.517 (#274) | NetEff +0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.769 (#287) | AdjNet +10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.795 (#281) | AdjNet +11.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.657 (#286) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.603 (#166) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.684 (#195) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.673 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1076 (#167) | RD 93 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Missouri S&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | St. Mary (KS) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Missouri Western | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Bellevue | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Angelo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Central Mo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Central Mo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Pittsburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Sanders | - | 22 | 29.7 | 16.5 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 10.4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 43.2 | 32.0 | 80.6 | 6.42 | 57.3 | 49.4 |
| Gracie Gilpin | - | 22 | 32.7 | 12.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 12.4 | 3.5 | -102 | -4.4 | -15.0 | 33.0 | 32.7 | 68.3 | -2.05 | 45.4 | 42.1 |
| Macey Gandee | - | 22 | 25.1 | 8.5 | 6.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7.9 | 11.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -1.8 | 46.0 | 0 | 63.4 | 2.7 | 48.4 | 46.0 |
| Vanessa Coleman | - | 22 | 21.8 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 4.5 | -56 | -2.4 | -11.0 | 42.6 | 36.4 | 61.9 | -0.71 | 49.6 | 48.2 |
| Katiya Casey | - | 22 | 14.9 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 0.3 | -55 | -2.4 | -18.6 | 26.6 | 23.1 | 82.9 | -0.73 | 40.9 | 32.1 |
| Micah Hannah | - | 22 | 18.8 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 5.6 | -94 | -4.1 | -23.7 | 51.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.19 | 51.8 | 51.2 |
| Makenzie McDaniel | - | 22 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 3.0 | -90 | -3.9 | -37.0 | 42.2 | 0 | 58.1 | -3.41 | 45.3 | 42.2 |
| Allison Reese | - | 12 | 12.9 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 3.1 | -28 | -2.3 | -25.4 | 48.6 | 0.0 | 53.8 | -1.47 | 50.3 | 48.6 |
| Elizabeth Tjaden | - | 22 | 12.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 | -33 | -1.4 | -10.2 | 29.4 | 31.8 | 83.3 | 1.23 | 43.7 | 39.7 |
| Kaylin Noonan | - | 22 | 11.7 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 6.1 | -47 | -2.0 | -28.4 | 45.2 | 0 | 52.4 | -0.96 | 47.8 | 45.2 |
| Lexsey DeWitt | - | 20 | 8.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | -16 | -0.8 | -8.7 | 40.0 | 34.8 | 83.3 | 1.74 | 56.7 | 53.3 |
| Addie Kirmer | - | 15 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | -30 | -2.0 | -69.4 | 31.6 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -1.11 | 37.7 | 36.8 |
| Maria Luisa Montes | - | 8 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.27 | 51.8 | 40.0 |
| Julia Clavero Seubas | - | 11 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | -33 | -3.0 | -56.9 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.78 | 17.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG