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Emporia St.

Also known as: Emporia St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1071 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1024 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1021 (#236) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +4.7 (#126) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +10.3 (#210) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.403 (#399) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.5 More → 0.517 (#274) NetEff +0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.5 More → 0.769 (#287) AdjNet +10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.5 More → 0.795 (#281) AdjNet +11.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 63.2 More → 0.657 (#286) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 63.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.603 (#166) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 63.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.684 (#195) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.673 (#206) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 23 More → 1078 (#170) RD 93 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Wayne St. (NE) L 39 - 55
2025-11-15 vs MSU Moorhead L 48 - 60
2025-11-18 @ Southwest Baptist W 84 - 61
2025-11-22 vs Missouri S&T W 78 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Quincy W 75 - 62
2025-11-30 vs St. Mary (KS) W 91 - 55
2025-12-04 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 69 - 77
2025-12-06 vs Missouri Western W 69 - 59
2025-12-14 vs Lincoln (MO) W 74 - 64
2025-12-17 vs Bellevue W 73 - 65
2025-12-20 @ Angelo St. L 64 - 72
2026-01-01 @ Central Mo. L 61 - 70
2026-01-03 @ Washburn L 59 - 86
2026-01-10 vs Neb.-Kearney W 82 - 78
2026-01-15 vs Washburn L 52 - 63
2026-01-17 vs Central Mo. W 76 - 70
2026-01-22 @ Northeastern St. L 57 - 74
2026-01-23 @ Ark.-Fort Smith W 77 - 71
2026-01-29 @ Rogers St. L 57 - 70
2026-01-31 @ Central Okla. W 65 - 56
2026-02-05 vs Pittsburg St. W 65 - 63
2026-02-07 vs Mo. Southern St. L 69 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaitlyn Sanders - 22 29.7 16.5 3.4 3.1 1.2 0.1 2.2 11.7 10.4 1 0.0 0.2 43.2 32.0 80.6 2.03 57.3 49.4
Gracie Gilpin - 22 32.7 12.4 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.1 1.3 12.4 3.5 -102 -4.4 -15.0 33.0 32.7 68.3 -1.99 45.4 42.1
Macey Gandee - 22 25.1 8.5 6.8 1.6 1.2 1.5 0.7 7.9 11.0 -9 -0.4 -1.8 46.0 0 63.4 1.95 48.4 46.0
Vanessa Coleman - 22 21.8 6.8 3.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 1.2 6.4 4.5 -56 -2.4 -11.0 42.6 36.4 61.9 -2.94 49.6 48.2
Katiya Casey - 22 14.9 4.7 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.8 5.0 0.3 -55 -2.4 -18.6 26.6 23.1 82.9 0.6 40.9 32.1
Micah Hannah - 22 18.8 4.6 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.3 1.7 3.9 5.6 -94 -4.1 -23.7 51.2 0.0 50.0 -1.19 51.8 51.2
Makenzie McDaniel - 22 10.8 4.3 3.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.6 4.1 3.0 -90 -3.9 -37.0 42.2 0 58.1 -3.62 45.3 42.2
Allison Reese - 12 12.9 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.8 2.9 3.1 -28 -2.3 -25.4 48.6 0.0 53.8 -2.05 50.3 48.6
Elizabeth Tjaden - 22 12.2 2.9 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.0 1.0 3.1 2.8 -33 -1.4 -10.2 29.4 31.8 83.3 2.08 43.7 39.7
Kaylin Noonan - 22 11.7 2.2 5.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.9 6.1 -47 -2.0 -28.4 45.2 0 52.4 -0.14 47.8 45.2
Lexsey DeWitt - 20 8.8 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.1 -16 -0.8 -8.7 40.0 34.8 83.3 1.39 56.7 53.3
Addie Kirmer - 15 4.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.6 -30 -2.0 -69.4 31.6 28.6 50.0 -1.52 37.7 36.8
Maria Luisa Montes - 8 5.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.0 0.6 1.0 2 0.2 3.7 40.0 0 75.0 0.39 51.8 40.0
Julia Clavero Seubas - 11 6.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 -33 -3.0 -56.9 20.0 0 0.0 -0.78 17.0 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG