🐻⬇️🏀

Emporia St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Emporia St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 941 (#335) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 983 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 965 (#450) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.7 (#81) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +8.0 (#189) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.455 (#366) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.0 More → 0.942 (#171) NetEff +26.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.820 (#222) AdjNet +13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.9 More → 0.849 (#202) AdjNet +14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.728 (#205) AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 70.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.573 (#178) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.630 (#211) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.610 (#219) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 23 More → 981 (#251) RD 98 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Wayne St. (NE) L 76 - 80
2025-11-15 vs St. Cloud St. W 77 - 61
2025-11-19 vs William Jewell L 72 - 77
2025-11-22 @ Lincoln (MO) W 92 - 90
2025-11-28 @ Okla. Baptist L 48 - 69
2025-11-29 @ Northwestern Okla. L 83 - 85
2025-12-04 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 70 - 77
2025-12-06 vs Missouri Western L 74 - 84
2025-12-15 vs Kansas Christian W 113 - 60
2025-12-17 vs Sterling (KS) W 101 - 58
2025-12-20 @ Rockhurst L 72 - 92
2026-01-01 @ Central Mo. L 71 - 78
2026-01-03 @ Washburn L 66 - 91
2026-01-08 vs Fort Hays St. L 70 - 73
2026-01-10 vs Neb.-Kearney W 82 - 79
2026-01-15 vs Washburn L 64 - 75
2026-01-17 vs Central Mo. W 89 - 88
2026-01-22 @ Northeastern St. W 84 - 71
2026-01-23 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 59 - 83
2026-01-29 @ Rogers St. L 48 - 86
2026-01-31 @ Central Okla. L 64 - 70
2026-02-05 vs Pittsburg St. W 81 - 78
2026-02-07 vs Mo. Southern St. L 73 - 93

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chris Harris - 23 27.7 12.5 5.2 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.1 10.9 8.4 -227 -5.2 -21.9 42.2 33.0 78.7 -1.37 52.8 49.8
Andrew Pengel - 23 19.2 10.2 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.4 9.6 3.0 -108 -4.7 -49.0 35.5 33.3 85.7 -0.52 49.1 45.0
Treyvon Taylor - 23 20.4 9.0 4.9 0.9 0.8 0.3 1.5 7.5 7.0 -29 -1.3 -9.6 48.3 27.3 59.1 -1.69 51.7 49.1
Dallas Bear - 23 20.7 8.1 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.8 6.6 5.8 22 1.0 7.4 43.0 39.1 85.7 2.09 59.5 57.9
Trey Redd - 23 24.6 7.4 3.0 4.7 1.2 0.3 1.8 5.2 9.7 -2 -0.1 -0.5 54.2 50.0 87.5 1.96 62.1 56.7
Jack Weigus - 23 16.4 7.3 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 5.5 3.3 16 0.7 6.3 43.7 42.1 76.5 0.85 59.6 56.3
Justin Mack - 23 15.1 5.1 1.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.8 -10 -0.4 -6.9 45.8 33.3 90.9 -1.37 55.8 51.0
Devin Conley - 23 14.3 4.7 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.9 5.0 2.6 38 1.7 16.4 37.4 21.9 51.6 0.44 42.4 40.4
Mason Jones - 16 9.9 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3.5 1.4 8 0.5 6.2 39.3 35.7 55.6 -1.18 49.2 48.2
Olafur Styrmisson - 23 19.9 3.7 4.0 1.2 0.2 0.1 1.0 2.5 5.7 -45 -2.0 -14.9 63.8 0.0 55.0 -0.71 63.6 63.8
Mason Wujek - 23 11.1 3.7 3.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 2.4 4.8 45 2.0 26.9 55.4 42.9 66.7 3.93 61.4 58.0
Elijah Wilhelm - 3 7.0 3.0 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 - - - 60.0 0 60.0 -1.48 62.5 60.0
Eli Stokes - 4 3.8 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 -2 -0.5 -62.3 25.0 0 50.0 -0.76 30.7 25.0
Will Cravens - 10 4.3 0.6 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 2.1 2 0.2 8.0 16.7 0.0 50.0 -0.68 31.5 16.7
Sheldon Stewart - 9 3.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.0 11 1.2 63.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.52 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG