Emory Eagles
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1302 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1359 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1180 (#26) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.0 (#59) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.8 (#160) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.852 (#270) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.898 (#183) | AdjNet +18.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.899 (#184) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.794 (#181) | AdjO 87.1 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.814 (#20) | AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.846 (#61) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.842 (#49) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1313 (#15) | RD 108 | GP 18 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Piedmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Trinity (TX) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Huntingdon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Berry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | TCNJ | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Bates | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Oglethorpe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Rochester (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Brandeis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | NYU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | CWRU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | WashU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | UChicago | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | WashU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | UChicago | W | 97 - 94 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Pearce | - | 18 | 36.5 | 22.6 | 3.9 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 16.7 | 15.8 | 66 | 3.7 | 11.7 | 45.7 | 32.6 | 89.1 | -0.06 | 58.9 | 52.7 |
| Jair Knight | - | 19 | 32.7 | 18.7 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 14.8 | 13.1 | 81 | 4.3 | 18.2 | 47.9 | 27.0 | 65.4 | -1.38 | 54.2 | 50.9 |
| Ethan Fauss | - | 15 | 31.1 | 15.5 | 8.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 15.5 | 118 | 7.9 | 30.5 | 43.2 | 36.3 | 69.7 | 6.86 | 54.3 | 52.5 |
| Mario Awasum | - | 19 | 26.2 | 9.7 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 13.3 | 83 | 4.4 | 22.7 | 58.8 | 30.8 | 75.0 | 1.84 | 63.0 | 60.3 |
| AJ Harris | - | 19 | 28.9 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.8 | 10.8 | 114 | 6.0 | 24.9 | 46.6 | 28.8 | 68.4 | 3.61 | 54.9 | 52.4 |
| Harris Jackson | - | 19 | 15.8 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 39 | 2.1 | 17.7 | 43.0 | 37.9 | 65.4 | 1.84 | 53.1 | 50.0 |
| Spencer Hall | - | 19 | 14.3 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 53.4 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.96 | 56.9 | 53.4 |
| Eli Fauss | - | 15 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 3.7 | -7 | -0.4 | -14.2 | 53.1 | 44.4 | 61.5 | -1.43 | 61.0 | 59.4 |
| John Coppolino IV | - | 15 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 25 | 1.7 | 31.5 | 33.3 | 28.1 | 69.2 | -0.34 | 49.2 | 44.9 |
| Will Otto | - | 8 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.2 | -2 | -0.2 | -5.0 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.87 | 65.4 | 59.1 |
| Tyson Thomas | - | 8 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 14 | 1.2 | 40.0 | 87.5 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 1.01 | 87.1 | 93.8 |
| AJ Mickens | - | 7 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.42 | 65.8 | 50.0 |
| Liam Mullins | - | 7 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 36.4 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Harry Kitey | - | 7 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.36 | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| Gus Fried | - | 5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Maverick Wycoki | - | 5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG