Emmaus
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 982 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 924 (#437) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1010 (#366) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -27.9 (#385) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.0 (#606) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.600 (#407) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.846 (#198) | NetEff +11.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.001 (#727) | AdjNet -62.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#727) | AdjNet -67.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.026 (#730) | AdjO 40.3 | AdjD 80.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.502 (#388) | AdjO 58.0 | AdjD 57.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.270 (#551) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.312 (#526) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 934 (#391) | RD 257 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Maranatha Baptist | W | 78 - 36 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 60 - 83 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | W | 67 - 23 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Barrett | - | 3 | 35.1 | 20.0 | 14.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 12.3 | 24.0 | 49 | 2.2 | 15.4 | 59.5 | 0.0 | 88.9 | -1.78 | 66.8 | 59.5 |
| UNKNOWN Team | - | 2 | 34.5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 44.4 | 28.6 | - | 51.8 | 54.5 |
| Marina Keck | - | 1 | 34.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 47.2 | 50.0 |
| Aubry Silva | - | 3 | 33.0 | 12.7 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 23.7 | 17.4 | 50.0 | - | 29.6 | 27.1 |
| Erin McKenna | - | 3 | 33.8 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 10.7 | 7.7 | - | - | - | 40.6 | 42.9 | 50.0 | - | 45.6 | 45.3 |
| Hanna Kreiner | - | 2 | 21.8 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 80.0 | - | 49.4 | 43.3 |
| Madeline Wiest | - | 2 | 27.4 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Nellie Hopkins | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jennika Beach | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Leilani Pierre | - | 3 | 14.9 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 20.2 | 22.2 |
| Maria Rodriguez Gaulteros | - | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG