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Emmaus

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Emmaus
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 898 (#533) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 769 (#610) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 884 (#692) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -39.0 (#426) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -41.2 (#776) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.115 (#727) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -49.2 More → 0.003 (#792) AdjNet -49.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -50.0 More → 0.003 (#791) AdjNet -50.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 95.6 More → 0.034 (#789) AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 95.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 87.6 More → 0.179 (#754) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 87.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.058 (#772) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.071 (#769) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 226 | GP 4 More → 617 (#644) RD 226 | GP 4

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 @ Maranatha Baptist L 69 - 73
2025-11-18 @ Luther L 53 - 77
2025-12-13 vs Blackburn L 63 - 95
2026-01-30 vs Maranatha Baptist L 89 - 93

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
James Hawley - 1 36.0 29.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 13.0 27.0 -91 -7.0 -147.8 53.8 66.7 84.6 -0.05 77.5 69.2
Grant Brock - 1 34.0 23.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 21.0 -86 -6.1 -130.0 100.0 0 83.3 0.61 98.8 100.0
Will Schultz - 1 33.0 21.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 16.0 13.0 -61 -4.7 -99.2 43.8 0.0 70.0 0.57 51.5 43.8
Owen Bockenstedt - 1 28.7 15.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 17.0 -18 -0.9 -5.4 60.0 33.3 20.0 1.03 61.5 70.0
Henry Kreckman - 1 28.6 15.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 16.0 -55 -2.8 -19.4 87.5 0 33.3 -1.64 80.5 87.5
Andre Palavra - 1 16.9 13.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 3.0 -20 -1.1 -7.5 50.0 60.0 50.0 -0.31 66.6 68.8
Charlie Wunderlich - 1 27.4 11.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 3.0 -28 -1.4 -8.4 41.7 25.0 0 0.62 45.8 45.8
Christian Cleveland - 1 27.0 11.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 7.0 - - - 45.5 0.0 50.0 - 46.3 45.5
Colyer Wingfield - 2 27.5 10.0 3.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 3.0 9.0 3.5 - - - 38.9 33.3 71.4 - 47.4 41.7
Taydem Arguello - 2 28.8 9.5 5.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 3.5 12.0 3.5 - - - 29.2 40.0 75.0 - 36.9 33.3
Josh Stewart - 1 21.4 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 -1.0 73 3.8 16.5 33.3 20.0 0 2.56 37.5 37.5
Javier Rowell - 1 21.8 8.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 4.0 -42 -2.1 -16.6 37.5 0.0 50.0 -1.37 41.0 37.5
Landon Jacobus - 2 18.0 7.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.0 5.0 - - - 83.3 75.0 50.0 - 101.7 108.3
Jeremy Andera - 1 27.6 6.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 4.0 -8 -0.4 -2.3 30.0 0.0 0 2.05 30.0 30.0
Nash Harper - 2 14.5 5.5 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 5.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 50.6 50.0
William Shaw - 1 13.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 50.0 - 52.5 50.0
Eli Mackey - 2 20.2 4.5 1.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 8.5 0.0 - - - 23.5 11.1 0.0 - 25.2 26.5
Nathaniel Wagner - 2 10.8 4.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 6.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 33.8 25.0
Lance Jr. - 2 27.7 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 3.5 4.5 2.5 -14 -1.6 -126.8 33.3 16.7 50.0 -0.22 40.5 38.9
Clint Smith - 1 11.7 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 -56 -2.8 -32.9 50.0 100.0 0 -1.34 75.0 75.0
Gideon Armah-Amissah - 1 1.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Owen Poloronis - 1 1.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -63 -3.9 -67.1 0 0 100.0 -1.14 113.6 0
Yigit Yarisci - 1 9.8 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 -22 -1.2 -12.6 50.0 0 0 1.92 50.0 50.0
Colten Dobrodt - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Jared Dau - 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Joe Shank - 1 25.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 -81 -5.8 -126.3 0.0 0.0 50.0 1.13 26.6 0.0
Jake Collis - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -17 -1.4 -23.6 0 0 0 -3.41 0 0
Harrison Hilyer - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Hoover - 1 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -16 -1.5 -44.6 0.0 0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0
Dimitrios Kontorigas - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Charlie Mason - 1 5.9 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -4 -0.2 -2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.29 0.0 0.0
Kyanu Simeone - 1 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10 2.0 22.6 0 0 0 -1.38 0 0
Jonathan Herbster - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -41 -5.1 -517.9 0.0 0 0 -0.74 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG