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Emmanuel (MA)

Also known as: Emmanuel (MA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1035 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 971 (#412) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 972 (#569) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -8.9 (#325) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.7 (#573) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.311 (#587) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.4 More → 0.160 (#572) AdjNet -14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.6 More → 0.154 (#574) AdjNet -14.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 79.4 More → 0.275 (#569) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 79.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.369 (#614) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 76.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.322 (#562) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.324 (#569) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 960 (#422) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Baruch - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 vs John Jay - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ New Hampshire - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Roger Williams - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Southern Me. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Williams - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Amherst - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Westfield St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Brandeis - Incomplete score
2025-12-08 @ Fitchburg St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-09 vs Lesley - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ WestConn - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Muhlenberg - Incomplete score
2026-01-06 vs Rivier - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Colby-Sawyer - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Albertus Magnus - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 @ St. Joseph's (ME) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Saint Joseph (CT) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs New England Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Lasell - Incomplete score
2026-02-03 @ Regis (MA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Elms - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Edgardo Jacob Cancel - 1 23.5 17.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 -81 -4.8 -32.2 66.7 0.0 100.0 -2.28 75.9 66.7
Mahari Guerrier - 19 29.9 15.0 8.1 2.2 0.9 0.4 1.8 12.5 12.2 -31 -1.8 -7.4 45.0 21.8 63.4 0.61 51.1 47.5
Andrew Ciaglo - 1 26.5 15.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 -171 -15.5 -80.0 55.6 66.7 50.0 -2.47 75.9 77.8
RJ Mayfield - 1 30.7 14.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 11.0 7.0 -173 -9.1 -48.9 54.5 0.0 100.0 -0.63 58.9 54.5
Noah Beaudet - 19 28.1 13.7 3.5 1.0 1.3 0.0 1.6 11.4 6.4 -23 -1.3 -4.6 42.4 42.3 76.3 1.53 55.6 53.2
Danny Adams - 19 24.0 11.7 2.9 1.6 1.5 0.4 2.2 9.8 6.1 8 0.4 1.9 42.2 32.0 53.2 1.64 50.5 48.7
Ismani Cepeda - 1 18.2 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 5.0 -6 -6.0 -13.4 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Cameron Snowden - 15 24.1 9.5 3.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 1.1 5.6 8.9 -43 -3.1 -14.0 57.1 42.9 72.9 -3.35 64.6 58.9
Jamie Lawson - 1 17.1 9.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 -28 -1.6 -13.1 75.0 0.0 50.0 -1.55 67.8 75.0
Zane Adnan - 1 17.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 4.0 61 5.1 37.2 33.3 25.0 100.0 2.16 45.5 38.9
Nate Pabis - 1 22.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 20 1.2 13.7 50.0 40.0 50.0 -0.53 65.4 66.7
Jaedon Bogar - 1 28.0 7.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 6.0 -31 -1.7 -7.9 37.5 0 50.0 0.17 39.4 37.5
Chris Hammond - 1 25.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 62 3.6 22.2 42.9 0.0 100.0 -2.6 47.0 42.9
Drew Martin - 1 16.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 98 5.8 40.6 66.7 0 100.0 4.53 77.3 66.7
Manny Duran - 12 20.6 5.2 3.9 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.9 5.2 5.2 28 2.2 20.3 36.5 4.8 88.2 2.61 44.0 37.3
Ryan Rangel - 19 18.6 5.0 2.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 1.3 6.2 3.5 -41 -2.3 -13.4 28.0 22.2 83.3 -1.84 37.7 33.9
Adam Sarlan - 1 10.4 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 -27 -1.7 -14.7 100.0 0 75.0 -0.04 90.6 100.0
Connor Hanavan - 15 12.8 4.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 3.1 3.0 -52 -3.2 -23.4 56.5 51.9 75.0 -2.45 72.2 71.7
Hansy Jacques - 16 17.7 4.5 2.5 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.9 3.9 4.6 -25 -1.7 -8.3 41.3 29.4 57.7 -2.3 48.4 45.2
Aidan Oliveira - 16 22.2 3.6 3.9 2.5 1.3 0.0 2.3 3.9 5.1 -55 -3.2 -16.5 35.5 18.8 55.0 -2.54 41.0 37.9
Jack Assini - 12 9.6 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 2.4 2.1 -6 -0.5 -5.6 31.0 29.4 50.0 0.99 40.2 39.7
Jack Lo - 1 9.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -50 -5.0 -47.8 0.0 0 100.0 -0.69 34.7 0.0
Damante Vanheyningen - 6 5.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 2.2 -0.7 -20 -3.3 -57.7 23.1 25.0 0 -2.57 34.6 34.6
Jacob Williams - 13 8.5 0.3 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.1 -2 -0.2 -3.7 40.0 0 0 0.27 40.0 40.0
DJ Watkins - 1 19.2 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 -5.0 -48 -2.8 -13.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.84 0.0 0.0
Jacob Blank - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.1 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG