Emmanuel (MA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 960 (#446) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 954 (#427) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#569) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.4 (#250) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.7 (#573) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.311 (#587) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.160 (#572) | AdjNet -14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.154 (#574) | AdjNet -14.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.275 (#569) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.369 (#614) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.322 (#562) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.324 (#569) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 961 (#428) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Baruch | L | 83 - 85 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | John Jay | W | 78 - 48 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | New Hampshire | L | 69 - 97 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Roger Williams | W | 90 - 80 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Southern Me. | W | 83 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Williams | L | 77 - 90 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Amherst | L | 40 - 77 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Westfield St. | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Brandeis | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2025-12-08 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Lesley | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | WestConn | L | 44 - 78 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Muhlenberg | L | 67 - 77 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Rivier | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Colby-Sawyer | W | 92 - 67 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Albertus Magnus | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 54 - 81 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | New England Col. | W | 101 - 83 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lasell | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Regis (MA) | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Elms | W | 76 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgardo Jacob Cancel | - | 1 | 23.5 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | -81 | -4.8 | -32.2 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.08 | 75.9 | 66.7 |
| Andrew Ciaglo | - | 1 | 26.5 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | -171 | -15.5 | -80.0 | 55.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -0.53 | 75.9 | 77.8 |
| Mahari Guerrier | - | 20 | 30.0 | 14.9 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 12.4 | 12.2 | -31 | -1.8 | -7.4 | 45.0 | 21.7 | 59.6 | 1.72 | 50.7 | 47.6 |
| RJ Mayfield | - | 1 | 30.7 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -173 | -9.1 | -48.9 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.22 | 58.9 | 54.5 |
| Noah Beaudet | - | 20 | 28.0 | 13.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 11.2 | 6.0 | -23 | -1.3 | -4.6 | 42.0 | 42.6 | 76.3 | -1.2 | 55.3 | 52.9 |
| Danny Adams | - | 20 | 23.8 | 12.1 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 43.0 | 32.9 | 53.1 | 0.24 | 51.1 | 49.5 |
| Ismani Cepeda | - | 1 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -6 | -6.0 | -13.4 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.13 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Cameron Snowden | - | 15 | 24.1 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 8.9 | -43 | -3.1 | -14.0 | 57.1 | 42.9 | 72.9 | 0.21 | 64.6 | 58.9 |
| Zane Adnan | - | 1 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 61 | 5.1 | 37.2 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 2.77 | 45.5 | 38.9 |
| Nate Pabis | - | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 20 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -2.21 | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Jamie Lawson | - | 1 | 17.1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -28 | -1.6 | -13.1 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.4 | 67.8 | 75.0 |
| Chris Hammond | - | 1 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 62 | 3.6 | 22.2 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.27 | 47.0 | 42.9 |
| Jaedon Bogar | - | 1 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -31 | -1.7 | -7.9 | 37.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.1 | 39.4 | 37.5 |
| Drew Martin | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 98 | 5.8 | 40.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 5.51 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Ryan Rangel | - | 20 | 18.7 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.3 | 3.6 | -41 | -2.3 | -13.4 | 28.6 | 21.2 | 81.8 | -2.59 | 38.3 | 34.1 |
| Connor Hanavan | - | 16 | 12.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 3.2 | -52 | -3.2 | -23.4 | 58.8 | 55.2 | 80.0 | -0.92 | 75.2 | 74.5 |
| Adam Sarlan | - | 1 | 10.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -27 | -1.7 | -14.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.4 | 90.6 | 100.0 |
| Manny Duran | - | 13 | 20.2 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 28 | 2.2 | 20.3 | 36.9 | 4.8 | 88.2 | 0.21 | 44.2 | 37.7 |
| Hansy Jacques | - | 17 | 17.9 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 4.8 | -25 | -1.7 | -8.3 | 42.4 | 27.8 | 60.0 | -0.58 | 49.9 | 46.2 |
| Aidan Oliveira | - | 17 | 22.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 4.9 | -55 | -3.2 | -16.5 | 35.4 | 17.6 | 55.0 | -0.43 | 40.7 | 37.7 |
| Jack Lo | - | 1 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -50 | -5.0 | -47.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Jack Assini | - | 13 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -6 | -0.5 | -5.6 | 31.0 | 29.4 | 50.0 | -2.03 | 40.2 | 39.7 |
| Damante Vanheyningen | - | 7 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | -0.6 | -20 | -3.3 | -57.7 | 23.1 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.98 | 34.6 | 34.6 |
| Jacob Williams | - | 14 | 9.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.3 | -2 | -0.2 | -3.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Jacob Blank | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DJ Watkins | - | 1 | 19.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | -5.0 | -48 | -2.8 | -13.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG