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Emmanuel (GA)

Also known as: Emmanuel (GA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1183 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1016 (#159) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 985 (#375) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +0.1 (#227) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +0.9 (#314) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.692 (#78) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +35.8 More โ†’ 0.977 (#122) NetEff +35.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.9 More โ†’ 0.735 (#132) AdjNet +8.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.9 More โ†’ 0.738 (#133) AdjNet +8.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 73.5 More โ†’ 0.646 (#134) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 73.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 74.8 More โ†’ 0.542 (#225) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.484 (#329) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.497 (#314) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 23 More โ†’ 953 (#273) RD 98 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Newberry L 98 - 100
2025-11-15 @ Anderson (SC) L 71 - 89
2025-11-19 @ Augusta L 99 - 110
2025-11-22 vs Converse W 90 - 79
2025-11-25 vs Young Harris L 55 - 67
2025-11-28 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 54 - 88
2025-11-29 vs Lynn L 76 - 83
2025-12-03 @ Erskine W 62 - 56
2025-12-06 @ North Greenville L 64 - 78
2025-12-13 @ Chowan L 73 - 84
2025-12-16 vs Shorter W 87 - 83
2025-12-20 vs Coker W 68 - 65
2025-12-21 vs Georgia College W 82 - 71
2025-12-31 vs USC Aiken W 81 - 69
2026-01-03 @ Mount Olive W 84 - 81
2026-01-07 @ Southern Wesleyan L 81 - 90
2026-01-10 vs Ferrum L 75 - 89
2026-01-13 @ Young Harris L 79 - 86
2026-01-17 vs Francis Marion W 83 - 67
2026-01-22 vs Belmont Abbey - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Erskine W 113 - 53
2026-02-04 @ Shorter W 84 - 71
2026-02-07 vs UNC Pembroke L 77 - 80
2026-02-14 @ Lees-McRae W 80 - 78
2026-02-16 vs King (TN) W 91 - 75
2026-02-18 @ Belmont Abbey W 86 - 76
2026-02-21 @ Barton W 75 - 70
2026-02-25 vs Southern Wesleyan W 90 - 88
2026-03-02 vs Barton W 81 - 77
2026-03-06 @ Ferrum W 73 - 67
2026-03-07 @ Young Harris L 68 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Devin Story - 30 38.6 24.3 5.2 4.9 1.4 0.4 3.1 16.0 17.0 48 22 2.2 2.5 44.3 38.1 82.0 -0.03 60.4 52.1
Ezra Mckee - 30 28.9 15.1 6.7 1.7 1.2 0.6 2.3 10.4 12.6 49 22 2.2 3.3 55.6 50.0 65.4 -0.06 61.7 59.5
Sam Thacker - 25 35.4 11.8 3.0 3.3 1.0 0.0 1.6 9.2 8.4 83 20 4.2 4.8 39.8 37.4 87.7 1.09 57.6 53.0
Isaac Jones - 28 29.8 8.9 3.6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.6 7.5 7.5 80 22 3.6 5.3 37.9 37.3 87.0 1.92 56.3 54.3
Brady Perrt - 14 17.1 6.6 2.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.9 5.6 3.5 - - - - 46.2 23.8 60.0 0.19 51.7 49.4
Brady Peery - 13 12.2 5.4 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 4.1 3.1 -40 19 -2.1 -7.8 54.7 46.7 55.6 -4.56 61.4 61.3
Massimo Moretti - 30 11.0 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 3.4 3.6 23 21 1.1 3.9 47.6 40.3 82.6 0.34 65.4 62.6
Andrija Vujacic - 30 18.6 3.8 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.7 2 22 0.1 0.3 35.2 32.0 72.3 -0.16 51.0 44.0
Rett VanDeMark - 30 15.5 3.4 3.0 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.7 2.1 5.2 30 22 1.4 3.7 73.0 0.0 45.8 -1.54 70.0 73.0
Micah Roebuck - 14 14.1 2.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.8 2.3 1.6 -39 16 -2.4 -7.6 50.0 36.4 100.0 -2.3 57.8 56.2
Jermontae Brown - 6 7.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.5 - - - - 12.5 0 62.5 0.1 30.4 12.5
Matthew McKenzie - 25 3.8 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 -1 15 -0.1 -1.1 85.7 100.0 75.0 -0.58 90.3 92.9
Jamaal Leggett - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.91 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG