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Embry-Riddle (FL)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Embry-Riddle (FL)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1051 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1052 (#161) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 970 (#434) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +12.6 (#70) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +4.2 (#257) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.717 (#200) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +30.6 More → 0.964 (#151) NetEff +30.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.7 More → 0.873 (#171) AdjNet +16.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.8 More → 0.875 (#169) AdjNet +16.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 74.9 More → 0.776 (#146) AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 74.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 79.7 More → 0.584 (#167) AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 79.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.610 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.596 (#234) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 21 More → 1001 (#224) RD 93 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ Morehouse W 73 - 67
2025-11-16 @ Trevecca Nazarene L 82 - 88
2025-11-20 @ Flagler L 77 - 81
2025-11-22 vs Saint Leo W 104 - 80
2025-11-29 vs Valdosta St. L 91 - 103
2025-12-03 vs Trinity Baptist W 102 - 73
2025-12-06 @ Nova Southeastern L 81 - 96
2025-12-13 vs Barry W 77 - 70
2025-12-19 vs Fort Lauderdale W 104 - 79
2025-12-20 vs Newberry L 89 - 94
2025-12-31 @ Florida Tech W 95 - 62
2026-01-03 vs Eckerd W 99 - 73
2026-01-07 vs Palm Beach Atl. L 66 - 70
2026-01-10 vs Lynn W 101 - 79
2026-01-14 @ Fla. Southern L 83 - 89
2026-01-17 vs Tampa L 87 - 107
2026-01-21 @ Rollins L 88 - 96
2026-01-24 @ Eckerd W 80 - 74
2026-01-28 vs Florida Tech W 91 - 89
2026-01-31 @ Barry L 80 - 81
2026-02-07 @ Tampa L 93 - 104

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jared Berry - 21 31.9 19.9 5.0 4.9 1.5 0.0 3.9 15.3 12.1 86 4.3 22.8 44.4 37.4 90.5 -0.64 56.8 50.2
Dawson Barr - 20 28.2 14.5 4.7 1.1 1.1 0.3 1.6 11.0 9.2 17 0.8 5.2 47.7 45.7 73.3 -1.97 62.2 60.9
Jack Klinger - 21 29.3 12.3 6.1 0.9 0.5 1.2 1.7 6.9 12.6 69 3.5 21.1 71.5 0 68.8 -0.43 72.8 71.5
Evan Montanari - 19 22.7 8.9 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 1.1 8.3 4.3 33 1.7 24.2 36.1 35.6 82.4 -2.24 51.4 49.4
Braeden Moore - 21 20.2 7.6 3.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.6 6.9 4.7 2 0.1 0.9 37.2 39.3 100.0 -1.63 53.7 52.4
Chalier Torres - 11 13.6 7.5 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.1 1.2 5.4 5.5 16 1.5 10.4 42.4 40.7 87.5 3.21 58.9 51.7
Logan Lewis - 20 18.8 7.0 3.8 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.2 5.0 7.3 85 4.2 31.5 49.5 28.6 76.7 2.68 58.9 53.5
Clarens Pierre - 20 21.7 6.0 5.7 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.4 3.7 9.6 31 1.6 10.7 59.5 16.7 62.0 1.0 62.5 60.1
Landen Harwood - 21 13.5 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.8 3.8 4.4 52 2.6 38.0 46.2 27.8 78.6 2.51 54.7 49.4
Relja Vranesevic - 10 8.0 3.8 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.0 4.1 0 0.0 0.0 70.0 0 83.3 0.98 75.2 70.0
Milan Skoric - 6 3.7 2.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 -0.2 2 0.4 18.1 31.2 31.2 0 0.84 46.9 46.9
Theo Stangas - 7 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.6 - - - 50.0 40.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Ryan Mueller - 5 2.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.6 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 27.6 20.0
Walker Jackson - 6 4.8 0.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 1.0 1 0.2 24.2 20.0 0.0 50.0 0.06 25.5 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG