Embry-Riddle (FL)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1051 (#101) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1070 (#108) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.6 (#106) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.717 (#200) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.578 (#176) | NetEff +3.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.873 (#171) | AdjNet +16.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.875 (#169) | AdjNet +16.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.776 (#146) | AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 74.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Morehouse | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 85 - 91 |
| 2024-11-14 | vs | Flagler | W | 95 - 89 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Savannah St. | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Eckerd | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Barry | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | Fort Lauderdale | W | 103 - 102 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | P.R.-Mayaguez | W | 104 - 66 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 92 - 79 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 96 - 88 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 122 - 101 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 94 - 90 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Lynn | L | 63 - 96 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 80 - 103 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Tampa | W | 96 - 89 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Rollins | L | 81 - 87 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 78 - 91 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Eckerd | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Lynn | W | 88 - 86 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Fla. Southern | L | 93 - 99 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Tampa | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 82 - 50 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Rollins | W | 90 - 87 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 88 - 103 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Barry | L | 79 - 91 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | Tampa | L | 73 - 90 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilis Butkus | - | 1 | 31.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 91 | 3.2 | 8.3 | 63.6 | 83.3 | 50.0 | 0.66 | 82.3 | 86.4 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | - | 1 | 29.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | -68 | -5.2 | -30.1 | 69.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.09 | 69.8 | 69.2 |
| Amarion Nimmers | - | 2 | 30.0 | 18.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 10.5 | -54 | -2.0 | -6.6 | 46.7 | 30.8 | 71.4 | 0.19 | 55.9 | 53.3 |
| Tyson Leitao | - | 2 | 36.0 | 18.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 15.5 | 19 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 69.2 | 1.29 | 56.7 | 51.9 |
| Josh Ward | - | 1 | 39.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | -122 | -4.5 | -11.9 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 85.7 | 0.96 | 49.8 | 39.3 |
| Broderick Ellis | - | 1 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | -18 | -0.7 | -2.3 | 87.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.41 | 90.1 | 87.5 |
| Sergey Grishaev | - | 1 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 55.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.69 | 67.8 | 61.1 |
| Dru Nickson | - | 12 | 30.8 | 13.8 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 13.9 | 6.4 | -17 | -1.2 | -3.7 | 38.9 | 29.6 | 75.0 | 0.47 | 47.7 | 46.1 |
| Michael McCalister | - | 25 | 25.9 | 12.4 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 9.1 | 12.0 | 55 | 2.8 | 14.1 | 51.5 | 38.4 | 74.6 | 0.19 | 60.7 | 57.7 |
| Yassin Hussein | - | 24 | 21.5 | 12.0 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 41 | 1.6 | 11.3 | 49.6 | 0.0 | 64.2 | 0.1 | 53.2 | 49.6 |
| Jerry Bracey II | - | 25 | 24.4 | 10.7 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 9.6 | -32 | -1.9 | -7.6 | 51.2 | 15.8 | 75.0 | 0.25 | 55.5 | 51.9 |
| Kaden Froebe | - | 2 | 31.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 12.5 | 73 | 2.8 | 7.9 | 30.8 | 75.0 | 71.4 | 1.64 | 54.8 | 42.3 |
| Jared Berry | - | 25 | 18.9 | 10.2 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 5.6 | 187 | 8.9 | 97.7 | 40.1 | 24.7 | 78.4 | 0.04 | 50.1 | 44.4 |
| Leon Hughes | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Graham Worland | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 23 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 80.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.35 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Bryan Williams | - | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.44 | 28.9 | 25.0 |
| Milan Skoric | - | 25 | 18.1 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -11 | -0.8 | -3.4 | 37.2 | 37.2 | 78.9 | 0.11 | 54.7 | 53.3 |
| Ryan Blount | - | 2 | 29.5 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 209 | 6.1 | 34.0 | 30.0 | 27.3 | 60.0 | 0.36 | 40.5 | 37.5 |
| Zach Johnson | - | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12 | 1.5 | 34.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.7 | 121.5 | 150.0 |
| B.J. Schaeffer | - | 1 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.4 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Cole Gingeleski | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -49 | -2.2 | -50.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.32 | 52.5 | 66.7 |
| Jack Klinger | - | 25 | 16.2 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 5.8 | 116 | 5.3 | 64.6 | 54.8 | 0 | 54.8 | -0.0 | 56.1 | 54.8 |
| Dawson Barr | - | 12 | 15.8 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 92 | 4.4 | 66.0 | 39.2 | 31.4 | 33.3 | -0.09 | 49.4 | 50.0 |
| Clarens Pierre | - | 12 | 17.2 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 8.4 | 47 | 2.5 | 21.2 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.25 | 67.5 | 70.0 |
| Jakob Hester | - | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.44 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Alvin Tumblin | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -77 | -2.1 | -9.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.36 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Matus Malovec | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 73 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.91 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Tyler Burton | - | 1 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -60 | -3.2 | -8.4 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.49 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Ian Hart | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -67 | -3.0 | -16.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.44 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| William Jobe | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -84 | -3.8 | -75.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Logan Lewis | - | 12 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 64 | 3.2 | 95.4 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -0.41 | 40.3 | 35.0 |
| De'Andre Harvey | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -3 | -0.3 | -3.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.32 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Jack Dillard | - | 14 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | -5 | -1.2 | -44.3 | 37.5 | 45.0 | 0.0 | -1.15 | 53.3 | 56.2 |
| Matej Akrap | - | 15 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 54.5 | 54.2 |
| Theo Stangas | - | 14 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ryan Mueller | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chalier Torres | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG