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Embry-Riddle (AZ)

Also known as: Embry-Riddle (AZ)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1265 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1235 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1107 (#66) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +14.5 (#48) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +12.0 (#186) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.826 (#226) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.176 (#499) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.7 More → 0.932 (#175) AdjNet +22.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.9 More → 0.091 (#600) AdjNet -19.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.9 More → 0.937 (#176) AdjNet +22.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.5 More → 0.091 (#598) AdjNet -19.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 58.0 More → 0.809 (#160) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 58.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.233 (#602) AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 61.6 More → 0.696 (#89) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.793 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.785 (#102) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 20 More → 1187 (#54) RD 104 | GP 20

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-09 vs Virginia Union L 64 - 92
2019-11-11 @ Spring Hill W 91 - 76
2019-11-15 vs Flagler L 76 - 83
2019-11-20 vs Fla. Southern L 49 - 65
2019-11-23 vs Lynn W 71 - 69
2019-11-27 vs Oakland City W 110 - 69
2019-12-04 @ Rollins W 66 - 61
2019-12-14 vs Palm Beach Atl. W 73 - 37
2019-12-16 vs Catawba L 74 - 82
2019-12-18 @ Bellarmine L 60 - 80
2020-01-02 @ Barry L 60 - 64
2020-01-04 vs Florida Tech L 62 - 77
2020-01-08 @ Tampa L 40 - 65
2020-01-11 vs Eckerd L 54 - 66
2020-01-15 @ Saint Leo L 66 - 79
2020-01-18 @ Nova Southeastern L 71 - 84
2020-01-25 @ Lynn W 92 - 86
2020-01-29 vs Rollins W 62 - 57
2020-02-01 @ Fla. Southern L 52 - 81
2020-02-05 @ Palm Beach Atl. W 69 - 38
2020-02-08 vs Barry W 68 - 53
2020-02-12 vs Tampa L 47 - 64
2020-02-15 @ Florida Tech L 74 - 80
2020-02-19 vs Saint Leo L 69 - 76
2020-02-22 @ Eckerd L 65 - 87
2020-02-29 vs Nova Southeastern L 54 - 67
2020-03-03 @ Tampa L 36 - 76

2020 Roster

No roster data available for this season.