Embry-Riddle (AZ)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1265 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1235 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1107 (#66) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.5 (#48) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.0 (#186) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.826 (#226) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.176 (#499) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.932 (#175) | AdjNet +22.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.091 (#600) | AdjNet -19.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.937 (#176) | AdjNet +22.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.091 (#598) | AdjNet -19.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.809 (#160) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 58.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.233 (#602) | AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.696 (#89) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 61.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.793 (#106) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.785 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1187 (#54) | RD 104 | GP 20 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Ave Maria | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-18 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 62 - 56 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Florida Tech | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-24 | @ | Tampa | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-27 | vs | P.R.-Mayaguez | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | Sioux Falls | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-02 | vs | Rollins | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2015-12-11 | vs | Flagler | L | 48 - 60 |
| 2015-12-17 | @ | Georgetown (KY) | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-18 | vs | Findlay | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2016-01-06 | vs | Fla. Southern | L | 71 - 87 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Barry | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Lynn | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2016-01-20 | vs | Eckerd | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 35 - 59 |
| 2016-01-27 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Rollins | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Tampa | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2016-02-10 | @ | Eckerd | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Saint Leo | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-17 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 52 - 75 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2016-02-24 | vs | Barry | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ | Lynn | - | Preview |
| 2016-03-03 | @ | P.R.-Rio Piedras | W | 59 - 45 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | L | 44 - 58 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.