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Elon

Season: 2026
Also known as: Elon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1023 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1067 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1028 (#257) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +61.2 (#7) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#69) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +67.4 More → 1.000 (#49) NetEff +67.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +44.6 More → 0.995 (#95) AdjNet +44.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +44.0 More → 0.996 (#96) AdjNet +44.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 91.7 | AdjD 55.2 More → 0.965 (#64) AdjO 91.7 | AdjD 55.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 56.0 More → 0.939 (#4) AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 56.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.967 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.959 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 264 | GP 1 More → 1085 (#192) RD 264 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-30 vs N.C. Wesleyan - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.