Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1030 (#256) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#316) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1013 (#348) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.0 (#174) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.998 (#98) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.944 (#147) | AdjNet +24.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.949 (#139) | AdjNet +24.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.887 (#112) | AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.720 (#87) | AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.737 (#162) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.718 (#179) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1070 (#257) | RD 286 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-30 | vs | Warren Wilson | W | 127 - 56 |
| 2023-12-15 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 104 - 70 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Dorn | - | 2 | 19.5 | 19.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 65.2 | 60.0 | 66.7 | - | 78.1 | 78.3 |
| Max Mackinnon | - | 2 | 18.0 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.5 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 56.5 | 37.5 | 100.0 | - | 65.8 | 63.0 |
| Sam Sherry | - | 2 | 16.5 | 13.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 13.5 | - | - | - | 68.8 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 73.2 | 68.8 |
| TK Simpkins | - | 2 | 21.0 | 12.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | - | 81.0 | 83.3 |
| LA Pratt | - | 2 | 17.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 69.2 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 72.0 | 73.1 |
| Deandre Smart | - | 2 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 0 | 85.7 | - | 89.3 | 85.7 |
| Kendall Campbell | - | 2 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 87.5 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 82.0 | 87.5 |
| Rob Higgins | - | 2 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 52.2 | 50.0 |
| Isaac Harrell | - | 2 | 18.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 61.9 | 62.5 |
| Ned Hull | - | 2 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 46.3 | 40.9 |
| Zac Ervin | - | 2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Austin Williams | - | 2 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | -5 | -0.5 | -19.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.36 | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| JaDun Michael | - | 2 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Otto Luessenhop | - | 2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Grant Gondrezick II | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Savion Taylor | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG