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Elon

Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History

2022 Team Stats (1 games)

56.0
PPG
72.1
Opp
-5.4
Margin
44.0%
FG%
38.9%
3P%
55.6%
FT%
32.0
RPG
11.0
APG
23.0
TO
77.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1171 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1079 (#249) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 972 (#515) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +17.5 (#269) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +8.8 (#220) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -43.4 More → 0.006 (#339) NetEff -43.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.473 (#362) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.600 (#264) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.570 (#261) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 30 More → 960 (#256) RD 152 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Florida Gators L 61 - 74
2021-11-12 vs Randolph College Wildcats W 107 - 62
2021-11-14 vs Bluefield College Ramblin' Rams W 89 - 72
2021-11-19 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 56 - 74
2021-11-21 vs Temple Owls L 58 - 75
2021-11-27 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 81 - 93
2021-11-30 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 61 - 74
2021-12-04 vs High Point Panthers L 77 - 83
2021-12-11 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 63 - 80
2021-12-15 vs Winthrop Eagles W 63 - 61
2021-12-18 @ Duke Blue Devils L 56 - 87
2021-12-21 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 55 - 81
2022-01-09 @ Charleston Cougars L 61 - 65
2022-01-12 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 66 - 73
2022-01-15 vs Towson Tigers L 54 - 59
2022-01-17 vs James Madison Dukes W 90 - 67
2022-01-20 @ Drexel Dragons L 49 - 77
2022-01-22 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 77 - 80
2022-01-27 vs William & Mary Tribe W 61 - 54
2022-01-29 @ William & Mary Tribe L 61 - 65
2022-02-03 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 78 - 65
2022-02-05 vs Charleston Cougars L 64 - 66
2022-02-10 @ James Madison Dukes W 70 - 66
2022-02-12 @ Towson Tigers L 50 - 86
2022-02-15 vs Hofstra Pride L 64 - 97
2022-02-17 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 62 - 71
2022-02-19 vs Drexel Dragons L 60 - 71
2022-02-24 @ Hofstra Pride W 81 - 55
2022-02-26 @ Northeastern Huskies W 67 - 54
2022-03-06 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 58 - 75

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
H. McIntosh H. McIntosh - 24 33.5 13.7 2.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 2.2 1.6 15.6 -111 -3.5 -4.3 39.5 33.3 72.7 -0.44 384.0 50.0
D. Burford D. Burford G 24 30.3 12.7 4.0 2.9 1.3 0.1 2.4 1.7 17.0 -90 -2.8 -3.7 35.0 33.3 0.0 0.03 375.9 37.5
P. Good P. Good G 1 30.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 188 6.3 9.9 42.9 50.0 100.0 1.7 72.1 64.3
A. Rizzuto A. Rizzuto G 2 26.5 9.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 11.5 149 5.0 8.7 0 0 0 0.4 0 0
M. Graham M. Graham - 12 21.4 9.0 6.4 0.7 0.4 1.3 1.1 2.1 14.7 -36 -1.1 -2.2 68.0 0 62.5 0.5 189.3 68.0
T. Watson T. Watson - 19 24.5 8.9 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 1.5 1.9 10.2 -95 -4.8 -7.7 22.2 19.0 84.2 -0.81 190.5 27.8
J. Gray J. Gray F 2 29.5 8.5 8.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 18.5 95 3.3 6.4 0 0 0 0.51 0 0
J. Baker J. Baker G 2 33.0 8.5 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 15.0 122 3.6 11.6 0 0 0 0.79 0 0
C. Falden C. Falden G 1 26.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 -51 -2.0 -2.9 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
J. Gibson J. Gibson G 1 21.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 -110 -3.8 -10.3 0 0 0 1.21 0 0
Zac Ervin Zac Ervin - 30 20.7 6.9 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.9 8.8 -59 -1.8 -3.5 32.1 34.8 0.0 0.12 363.9 46.4
Hunter Woods Hunter Woods - 24 23.7 5.6 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 1.5 0.7 10.9 -90 -2.9 -4.9 35.3 33.3 60.0 -0.25 315.4 47.1
J. Gillens-Butler J. Gillens-Butler - 8 12.6 5.0 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.1 2.4 3.5 2.4 -60 -6.0 -16.5 35.7 28.6 40.0 -0.72 61.7 39.3
C. Hannah C. Hannah F 20 24.1 5.0 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.3 9.5 -59 -2.5 -4.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.05 726.7 125.0
P. Fleming Jr. P. Fleming Jr. G 1 17.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 165 4.7 6.9 20.0 0.0 66.7 1.62 31.6 20.0
B. McKissic B. McKissic G 1 28.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 83 2.4 4.0 20.0 0.0 100.0 0.83 34.0 20.0
K. Wooten K. Wooten G 24 19.2 3.7 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.1 5.5 -54 -1.7 -3.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.09 2225.0 0.0
A. Junkin A. Junkin C 16 8.5 3.4 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 5.6 -26 -1.5 -6.4 0.0 0 0 -0.1 2750.0 0.0
Sam Sherry Sam Sherry - 22 7.9 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 3.3 -76 -3.2 -16.5 60.0 0 50.0 -0.99 493.2 60.0
J. Patterson J. Patterson - 1 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
RJ Noord RJ Noord - 16 3.8 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.8 -18 -1.0 -10.3 0.0 0 0 -0.11 175.0 0.0
B. Daugherty B. Daugherty - 8 3.4 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.9 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Mendys C. Mendys - 4 1.8 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. McAdoo R. McAdoo G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Samb K. Samb - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.1 1.2 0 0 0 -0.19 0 0
C. Caliguiran C. Caliguiran G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Morrissey L. Morrissey - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Clark R. Clark - 2 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Gill T. Gill G 2 6.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 3 0.2 3.4 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG