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Elon

Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

67.5
PPG
63.8
Opp
+3.9
Margin
39.4%
FG%
36.2%
3P%
85.7%
FT%
35.5
RPG
12.0
APG
13.5
TO
81.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1298 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1247 (#191) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1007 (#172) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +18.9 (#251) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.1 (#226) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -20.9 More → 0.085 (#226) NetEff -20.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.528 (#178) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.635 (#197) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.611 (#198) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 34 More → 1034 (#184) RD 119 | GP 34

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 @ Butler Bulldogs L 59 - 74
2012-11-13 vs Bridgewater College (VA) Eagles W 95 - 51
2012-11-17 vs Colgate Raiders W 41 - 35
2012-11-18 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 62 - 59
2012-11-21 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 65 - 53
2012-11-24 @ VMI Keydets L 81 - 90
2012-11-28 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 55 - 50
2012-12-01 vs Charleston Cougars L 54 - 56
2012-12-04 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 71 - 49
2012-12-15 @ UMass Minutemen L 73 - 78
2012-12-20 @ Duke Blue Devils L 54 - 76
2012-12-22 @ Columbia Lions W 70 - 69
2012-12-31 vs Manchester Spartans W 84 - 49
2013-01-05 vs Princeton Tigers L 64 - 74
2013-01-12 @ Appalachian State Mountaineers L 70 - 80
2013-01-14 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 80 - 67
2013-01-17 vs Furman Paladins W 73 - 59
2013-01-19 vs Wofford Terriers W 68 - 61
2013-01-24 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 85 - 61
2013-01-26 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 70 - 66
2013-01-31 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 72 - 66
2013-02-02 vs Samford Bulldogs W 77 - 66
2013-02-07 @ Wofford Terriers L 50 - 60
2013-02-09 @ Furman Paladins W 64 - 60
2013-02-14 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers W 61 - 58
2013-02-16 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 80 - 73
2013-02-21 @ Samford Bulldogs W 63 - 62
2013-02-23 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 68 - 72
2013-02-27 vs Davidson Wildcats L 63 - 69
2013-03-02 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 80 - 66
2013-03-09 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 68 - 61
2013-03-10 vs Charleston Cougars L 60 - 68
2013-03-20 @ Canisius Golden Griffins L 53 - 69

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Troutman L. Troutman F 31 26.4 15.1 5.3 0.6 1.2 2.1 2.1 2.7 19.5 150 4.8 7.7 50.6 0 81.8 1.02 247.1 50.6
J. Isenbarger J. Isenbarger G 33 31.8 13.2 3.4 2.6 0.8 0.1 2.1 2.5 15.5 111 3.4 4.5 42.9 44.1 84.2 0.84 235.5 58.3
R. Beaumont R. Beaumont F 33 31.7 11.8 7.1 1.8 0.7 0.4 1.7 1.5 18.5 88 2.7 3.8 47.1 31.6 85.7 0.52 358.7 52.9
S. Koch S. Koch G 32 30.8 9.6 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.3 1.5 1.6 14.8 99 3.1 4.5 38.5 35.3 70.0 0.59 271.3 50.0
A. Hamilton A. Hamilton G 16 25.1 7.4 2.6 3.2 1.5 0.2 1.8 2.1 11.1 204 6.0 12.0 20.6 15.4 62.5 1.36 158.6 23.5
T. Samson T. Samson G 32 28.1 7.1 3.4 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.9 11.9 107 3.3 5.0 31.0 30.4 0 0.42 393.1 43.1
J. Bonney J. Bonney G 27 9.1 3.5 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 0.3 4.9 35 1.3 4.9 14.3 25.0 75.0 -0.06 536.5 21.4
R. Winters R. Winters F 32 13.8 2.9 2.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.5 5.2 70 2.2 5.1 46.7 0 85.7 0.73 254.4 46.7
K. Blake K. Blake G 28 10.0 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.2 3.1 -26 -0.9 -3.4 50.0 0 40.0 -0.13 304.9 50.0
E. Edomwonyi E. Edomwonyi F 27 5.3 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 2.6 7 0.3 1.7 100.0 0 0 -0.11 425.0 100.0
T. Sabato T. Sabato C 33 9.0 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.5 2.3 -3 -0.1 -0.4 44.4 0 50.0 -0.12 106.3 44.4
A. Smith A. Smith G 7 2.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 97 1.4 2.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.61 175.0 0.0
J. Moody J. Moody G 9 3.1 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.7 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 400.0 0.0
R. Dugas R. Dugas F 2 5.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Hershberger S. Hershberger G 5 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 0.0
W. Brewer W. Brewer F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG