Elizabethtown
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1145 (#92) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1158 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1111 (#78) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.7 (#101) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#351) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.453 (#211) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.275 (#204) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.265 (#207) | AdjNet -8.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.368 (#197) | AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 81.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.586 (#234) | AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.589 (#320) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.601 (#319) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1210 (#60) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Messiah | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rosemont | W | 94 - 65 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Moravian | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Susquehanna | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Lebanon Valley | W | 92 - 89 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Drew | W | 95 - 93 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Goucher | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Shenandoah | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Immaculata | W | 88 - 71 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Ursinus | W | 95 - 76 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Scranton | L | 62 - 74 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wilkes | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Juniata | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lycoming | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Catholic | L | 70 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Susquehanna | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Moravian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Goucher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Drew | W | 98 - 93 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Scranton | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Juniata | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Wilkes | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Catholic | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Lycoming | W | 78 - 48 |
| 2026-02-24 | @ | Wilkes | L | 70 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Finarelli | - | 26 | 33.6 | 21.2 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 16.0 | 14.3 | - | - | - | - | 47.4 | 29.8 | 75.2 | - | 56.6 | 51.7 |
| Woody Machado | - | 26 | 30.2 | 13.2 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 10.2 | 11.8 | - | - | - | - | 45.1 | 29.5 | 75.5 | - | 55.5 | 50.4 |
| Zuri Harris | - | 24 | 21.7 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.3 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 38.8 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 50.5 | 48.9 |
| EJ Finney | - | 26 | 31.2 | 9.3 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 7.3 | 10.6 | - | - | - | - | 51.3 | 40.0 | 66.7 | - | 56.5 | 54.0 |
| Anthony Lilly | - | 26 | 19.5 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 49.0 | 33.3 | 78.6 | - | 55.9 | 53.1 |
| Reese Ziegler | - | 25 | 25.4 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 5.2 | 7.1 | - | - | - | - | 37.2 | 28.8 | 76.4 | - | 51.9 | 45.3 |
| Ben Stanton | - | 26 | 18.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 36.4 | 32.4 | 75.0 | - | 51.1 | 49.2 |
| Augie Brody | - | 22 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | 44.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 57.7 | 55.8 |
| Crew Wells | - | 26 | 12.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 54.4 | 100.0 | 57.1 | - | 56.2 | 55.3 |
| Brandon Ascione | - | 15 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 35.3 | 83.3 | - | 54.6 | 45.8 |
| Rohan Chappali | - | 9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | 40.5 | 38.9 |
| Dylan Handley | - | 9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Chikezie Emmanuel | - | 8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 39.9 | 0.0 |
| Kaiden Robinson | - | 16 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 25.4 | 20.8 |
| Luis Guzman | - | 9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 58.1 | 66.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG