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Elizabeth City St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Elizabeth City St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 810 (#505) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 769 (#511) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 787 (#679) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -16.7 (#276) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -15.5 (#564) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.315 (#437) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -19.6 More → 0.057 (#415) NetEff -19.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.1 More → 0.219 (#510) AdjNet -11.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.5 More → 0.222 (#509) AdjNet -10.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.354 (#505) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 67.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.5 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.226 (#656) AdjO 53.5 | AdjD 67.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.118 (#644) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.128 (#647) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 22 More → 723 (#501) RD 104 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Old Dominion L 32 - 106
2025-11-15 vs Indiana (PA) L 53 - 97
2025-11-16 @ West Virginia St. L 59 - 79
2025-11-19 @ Chowan L 56 - 72
2025-11-29 vs Converse W 89 - 59
2025-12-01 vs UNC Pembroke W 58 - 56
2025-12-04 vs Fayetteville St. L 31 - 60
2025-12-09 vs Shaw L 49 - 56
2025-12-15 vs Claflin L 47 - 60
2025-12-19 @ Nova Southeastern L 55 - 87
2025-12-20 @ Fort Lauderdale W 101 - 58
2025-12-31 vs Mount Olive L 57 - 68
2026-01-10 @ Winston-Salem L 38 - 67
2026-01-12 @ Livingstone L 71 - 85
2026-01-17 vs Bluefield St. L 44 - 79
2026-01-21 @ Lincoln (PA) W 60 - 50
2026-01-24 vs Virginia St. L 45 - 58
2026-01-29 @ Virginia Union L 32 - 70
2026-02-05 vs Bowie St. L 54 - 71
2026-02-07 vs Virginia Union L 59 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tionna Pettus - 20 27.1 9.5 6.2 0.6 0.8 0.3 2.2 6.3 8.9 -159 -7.6 -46.9 52.4 11.1 63.3 -0.15 57.4 52.8
Jada Clark - 20 27.5 8.8 2.1 2.7 1.7 0.0 4.0 8.0 3.3 -111 -5.3 -30.2 38.4 33.3 69.8 -1.18 46.9 41.2
Kailyn Young - 19 21.1 8.4 3.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.6 7.5 3.8 -138 -6.9 -54.6 35.0 27.3 83.9 -2.78 47.4 39.2
LaNiya Scales - 6 16.4 7.7 2.5 0.7 0.7 1.3 2.3 8.2 2.3 -45 -5.0 -105.7 34.7 23.5 57.1 -1.51 41.7 38.8
Danasja Horne - 13 13.9 6.5 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 2.2 6.4 1.6 -48 -3.2 -67.7 32.5 32.3 75.0 -0.84 44.6 38.6
Alexis Staton - 19 24.2 5.3 3.7 1.5 1.5 0.1 2.3 6.3 3.5 -87 -4.1 -26.4 28.3 25.0 67.6 -0.54 37.4 32.5
Karina Scott - 20 28.9 4.3 1.6 1.3 1.4 0.0 2.8 5.5 0.1 -209 -9.1 -69.1 24.3 22.9 66.7 -2.9 36.6 34.2
Trinity Smith - 18 19.0 4.2 3.4 1.3 1.3 0.3 2.4 4.4 3.7 -44 -2.6 -19.8 32.9 38.7 78.6 1.33 44.0 40.5
Ariana Atkinson - 19 25.5 3.8 2.2 1.3 1.0 0.2 2.1 4.1 2.3 -133 -6.3 -47.2 37.2 16.7 61.5 -0.26 43.0 41.0
Naja Ngongba - 15 10.4 3.5 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.3 -15 -0.9 -22.8 50.0 55.6 58.3 -0.66 59.5 57.4
Raniyah Hocutt - 12 6.8 2.7 1.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 2.0 2.5 -20 -1.7 -34.8 62.5 0 50.0 1.1 62.1 62.5
Danasja Horn - 1 15.6 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0.0 - 20.5 25.0
Anylah Bowe - 1 4.9 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jasmine Jackson - 10 5.8 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.1 9 1.0 25.1 25.0 33.3 75.0 0.46 40.0 33.3
Leah Quartel - 2 7.3 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 0.11 26.6 0.0
Arian Atkinson - 1 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -133 -6.3 -47.2 0.0 0 0 -0.26 0.0 0.0
Alexis Stanton - 1 23.4 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 -8.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG