Elizabeth City St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 798 (#498) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 771 (#511) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 787 (#679) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.9 (#341) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -15.5 (#564) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.315 (#437) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.057 (#415) | NetEff -19.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.219 (#510) | AdjNet -11.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.222 (#509) | AdjNet -10.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.354 (#505) | AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.226 (#656) | AdjO 53.5 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.118 (#644) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.128 (#647) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 708 (#495) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Old Dominion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Indiana (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | West Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Chowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | UNC Pembroke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Claflin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Nova Southeastern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Fort Lauderdale | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Winston-Salem | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Bluefield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tionna Pettus | - | 19 | 26.8 | 9.1 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 6.1 | 8.5 | -159 | -7.6 | -46.9 | 52.2 | 12.5 | 64.2 | -1.84 | 57.4 | 52.6 |
| Jada Clark | - | 19 | 27.5 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 3.8 | -111 | -5.3 | -30.2 | 40.1 | 34.6 | 71.2 | -0.32 | 48.6 | 43.1 |
| Kailyn Young | - | 18 | 21.3 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 4.4 | -138 | -6.9 | -54.6 | 36.6 | 26.8 | 83.9 | -2.32 | 49.2 | 40.7 |
| LaNiya Scales | - | 6 | 16.4 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 8.2 | 2.3 | -45 | -5.0 | -105.7 | 34.7 | 23.5 | 57.1 | -2.15 | 41.7 | 38.8 |
| Danasja Horne | - | 13 | 13.9 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 1.6 | -48 | -3.2 | -67.7 | 32.5 | 32.3 | 75.0 | -0.34 | 44.6 | 38.6 |
| Alexis Staton | - | 19 | 24.2 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 3.5 | -87 | -4.1 | -26.4 | 28.3 | 25.0 | 67.6 | 1.38 | 37.4 | 32.5 |
| Karina Scott | - | 19 | 29.2 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 5.6 | 0.5 | -209 | -9.1 | -69.1 | 25.5 | 23.9 | 66.7 | -5.38 | 38.2 | 35.8 |
| Trinity Smith | - | 17 | 18.8 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 3.6 | -44 | -2.6 | -19.8 | 33.8 | 41.4 | 75.0 | -0.03 | 44.8 | 41.9 |
| Ariana Atkinson | - | 19 | 25.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 | -133 | -6.3 | -47.2 | 37.2 | 16.7 | 61.5 | 0.2 | 43.0 | 41.0 |
| Naja Ngongba | - | 14 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 3.6 | -15 | -0.9 | -22.8 | 51.6 | 55.6 | 63.6 | 0.94 | 62.7 | 59.7 |
| Raniyah Hocutt | - | 11 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.9 | -20 | -1.7 | -34.8 | 73.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.95 | 72.3 | 73.7 |
| Anylah Bowe | - | 1 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jasmine Jackson | - | 9 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 9 | 1.0 | 25.1 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.03 | 40.0 | 33.3 |
| Leah Quartel | - | 2 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG