Edward Waters
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1198 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 1116 (#78) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1157 (#35) | - |
| Margin | +3.2 (#136) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency | +13.8 (#159) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean | 0.524 (#350) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.428 (#435) | AdjO 98.7 | AdjD 101.2 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.430 (#436) | AdjO 96.2 | AdjD 98.6 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.452 (#443) | AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.734 (#60) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 49.4 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.796 (#102) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.805 (#89) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.862 (#138) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1194 (#50) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Kentucky St. | L | 54 - 58 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Lane | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Clark Atlanta | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 55 - 46 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Hampton | L | 47 - 65 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 58 - 43 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | W | 71 - 42 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Miles | W | 57 - 47 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Tuskegee | W | 52 - 44 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Shorter | W | 54 - 42 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Fort Valley St. | W | 72 - 34 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Allen | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Savannah St. | W | 69 - 48 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Benedict | W | 56 - 55 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lane | W | 69 - 46 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Kentucky St. | W | 59 - 47 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Central St. (OH) | W | 64 - 38 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 50 - 36 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 66 - 32 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | W | 89 - 49 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.