Edinboro
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1176 (#43) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1091 (#104) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1053 (#134) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.0 (#132) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.5 (#207) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.754 (#267) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.611 (#242) | NetEff +3.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.874 (#226) | AdjNet +16.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.864 (#244) | AdjNet +15.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.713 (#247) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.682 (#95) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 55.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.677 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.693 (#183) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1116 (#99) | RD 103 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Minnesota St. | L | 71 - 113 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | North Georgia | L | 75 - 86 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Northern Mich. | L | 50 - 65 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | West Liberty | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Wheeling | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | D'Youville | W | 65 - 50 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Findlay | L | 52 - 75 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Charleston (WV) | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Lock Haven | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Allegheny | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Millersville | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Shepherd | W | 86 - 63 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 84 - 53 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Mansfield | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 60 - 38 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | California (PA) | W | 69 - 45 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Seton Hill | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 79 - 50 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Clarion | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Indiana (PA) | L | 65 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachael Manfredo | - | 19 | 25.4 | 14.9 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 156 | 7.8 | 37.4 | 53.7 | 40.9 | 75.9 | 1.18 | 59.1 | 55.8 |
| Ava Haddad | - | 22 | 28.4 | 13.2 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 89 | 3.7 | 16.9 | 54.3 | 40.0 | 57.1 | 1.28 | 56.6 | 55.3 |
| Taylor Blunt | - | 22 | 24.6 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 11.1 | 5.8 | 119 | 5.2 | 22.5 | 37.1 | 34.0 | 82.6 | -0.15 | 48.3 | 44.5 |
| Hope Garrity | - | 22 | 29.9 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 169 | 7.0 | 32.7 | 39.5 | 37.0 | 87.9 | 1.41 | 52.6 | 48.5 |
| Samantha Baker | - | 9 | 28.4 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 26 | 2.9 | 6.9 | 37.3 | 11.8 | 100.0 | 1.08 | 39.8 | 38.8 |
| Carmen Vasquez | - | 21 | 14.6 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 83 | 3.6 | 36.0 | 52.3 | 0.0 | 53.3 | 2.18 | 53.4 | 52.3 |
| Maura Suman | - | 17 | 24.7 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 26 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 32.6 | 23.5 | 62.2 | -1.08 | 40.6 | 34.9 |
| Kassie Potts | - | 17 | 20.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 59 | 3.3 | 165.2 | 36.5 | 41.7 | 68.2 | 1.54 | 52.3 | 48.4 |
| Kendal Batchik | - | 10 | 12.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 1.8 | -11 | -1.1 | -5.8 | 33.3 | 30.8 | 72.7 | -1.09 | 45.9 | 40.0 |
| Carla Brown | - | 18 | 14.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 66 | 3.5 | 31.9 | 31.8 | 44.4 | 70.0 | 3.97 | 43.6 | 36.4 |
| Taylor Phillips | - | 16 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 13 | 0.8 | 8.9 | 44.8 | 42.9 | 80.0 | 1.91 | 57.7 | 55.2 |
| Lainie Harrington | - | 4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Jess Hetz | - | 11 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.3 | 13.2 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 51.4 | 35.7 |
| Bailie Brinson | - | 21 | 7.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 32 | 1.5 | 21.2 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 2.09 | 35.1 | 40.0 |
| Rebekka Hjalmarsdottir | - | 5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -7 | -1.4 | -83.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG