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Edinboro

Also known as: Edinboro
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1107 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1046 (#179) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1031 (#162) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +3.8 (#217) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.6 (#232) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.487 (#344) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +56.9 More → 0.998 (#49) NetEff +56.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.9 More → 0.555 (#390) AdjNet +1.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.9 More → 0.556 (#392) AdjNet +1.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.524 (#400) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 75.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.601 (#147) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.627 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.626 (#207) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 21 More → 1080 (#144) RD 101 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Salem (WV) - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Fairmont St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Point Park - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Roberts Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Malone - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 vs Thiel - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Lock Haven - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs Millersville - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Shepherd - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 @ Shippensburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs Mansfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Bloomsburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Gannon - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Penn St.-Fayette - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Pitt.-Johnstown - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ California (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Indiana (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Seton Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Slippery Rock - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Clarion - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Indiana (PA) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rowan Carmichael - 21 30.7 16.7 2.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.8 11.9 9.7 9 0.5 2.4 49.8 47.5 77.1 -0.61 66.4 65.1
Bryce Baez - 16 31.7 15.4 9.7 1.4 0.7 0.6 1.7 10.3 15.8 15 0.9 3.7 52.7 27.1 76.6 1.81 61.8 56.7
Evan Berger - 21 36.8 14.8 6.0 2.6 1.1 0.6 1.1 13.8 10.2 73 3.5 15.9 39.8 28.7 82.4 2.98 49.9 46.5
Mekhi Reynolds - 21 33.6 14.3 3.6 4.3 0.8 0.1 1.8 12.7 8.7 26 1.2 5.7 39.7 35.9 85.5 -0.9 51.7 47.6
Amaan Sandhu - 18 21.6 8.7 5.9 0.8 0.4 1.0 2.3 6.9 7.7 69 3.8 26.4 48.4 32.5 60.5 3.9 55.4 53.6
Ibrahim Abdulmateen-Robinson - 21 21.2 5.1 4.9 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.1 6.9 59 2.8 22.2 41.7 16.0 45.2 0.16 44.4 43.5
Dakari Bradford - 20 12.9 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.9 3.0 3.5 -4 -0.2 -4.3 39.3 22.2 73.9 -1.52 51.3 45.9
Jonathan Anderson - 18 13.8 2.3 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.8 2.9 -21 -1.2 -18.8 43.8 26.3 80.0 -2.41 56.3 51.6
Wilson-Daniel Charlot - 12 5.9 2.0 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.3 10 0.9 21.6 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Rocco Spadafora - 16 6.5 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.8 0.4 -14 -0.9 -29.8 27.6 24.0 0 -2.89 37.9 37.9
DaJuan Young - 7 1.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 - - - 66.7 50.0 75.0 - 84.0 83.3
John Mobley - 9 3.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.9 -20 -2.5 -168.4 22.2 0.0 20.0 -0.29 22.3 22.2
Tavion Spencer - 10 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 -0.1 -60 -3.8 -20.3 11.1 0.0 0 0.62 11.1 11.1
Jackson Dailey - 2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cole Walters - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG