Edinboro
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1049 (#106) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#259) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1031 (#162) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.1 (#217) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.6 (#232) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.487 (#344) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.998 (#49) | NetEff +56.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.555 (#390) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.556 (#392) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.524 (#400) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.601 (#147) | AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.627 (#212) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.626 (#206) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1083 (#136) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Salem (WV) | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Fairmont St. | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Point Park | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 86 - 64 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Malone | L | 59 - 80 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Thiel | W | 86 - 56 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Lock Haven | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Millersville | L | 73 - 85 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Shepherd | L | 64 - 83 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Mansfield | W | 92 - 68 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Gannon | L | 82 - 103 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Penn St.-Fayette | W | 99 - 54 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | California (PA) | L | 77 - 82 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 73 - 93 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Seton Hill | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Clarion | W | 93 - 78 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Indiana (PA) | L | 63 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Carmichael | - | 21 | 30.7 | 16.7 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 11.9 | 9.7 | 9 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 49.8 | 47.5 | 77.1 | 0.21 | 66.4 | 65.1 |
| Bryce Baez | - | 16 | 31.7 | 15.4 | 9.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 15.8 | 15 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 52.7 | 27.1 | 76.6 | 0.8 | 61.8 | 56.7 |
| Evan Berger | - | 21 | 36.8 | 14.8 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 13.8 | 10.2 | 73 | 3.5 | 15.9 | 39.8 | 28.7 | 82.4 | 1.33 | 49.9 | 46.5 |
| Mekhi Reynolds | - | 21 | 33.6 | 14.3 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 12.7 | 8.7 | 26 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 39.7 | 35.9 | 85.5 | 0.4 | 51.7 | 47.6 |
| Amaan Sandhu | - | 18 | 21.6 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 7.7 | 69 | 3.8 | 26.4 | 48.4 | 32.5 | 60.5 | 1.05 | 55.4 | 53.6 |
| Ibrahim Abdulmateen-Robinson | - | 21 | 21.2 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 59 | 2.8 | 22.2 | 41.7 | 16.0 | 45.2 | 0.42 | 44.4 | 43.5 |
| Dakari Bradford | - | 20 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 3.5 | -4 | -0.2 | -4.3 | 39.3 | 22.2 | 73.9 | -2.84 | 51.3 | 45.9 |
| Jonathan Anderson | - | 18 | 13.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.9 | -21 | -1.2 | -18.8 | 43.8 | 26.3 | 80.0 | -2.39 | 56.3 | 51.6 |
| Wilson-Daniel Charlot | - | 12 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 10 | 0.9 | 21.6 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Rocco Spadafora | - | 16 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | -14 | -0.9 | -29.8 | 27.6 | 24.0 | 0 | -0.7 | 37.9 | 37.9 |
| DaJuan Young | - | 7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 84.0 | 83.3 |
| John Mobley | - | 9 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | -20 | -2.5 | -168.4 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 0.18 | 22.3 | 22.2 |
| Tavion Spencer | - | 10 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | -0.1 | -60 | -3.8 | -20.3 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.64 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| Jackson Dailey | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Walters | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG