Ecclesia
Also known as: Ecclesia
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 911 (#456) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 961 (#549) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -55.2 (#720) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.000 (#757) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#588) | NetEff -50.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#737) | AdjNet -65.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#734) | AdjNet -64.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.015 (#747) | AdjO 33.2 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.164 (#678) | AdjO 50.9 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.049 (#696) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.060 (#694) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 880 (#435) | RD 229 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaidence Prendergast | - | 1 | 30.8 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 72.7 | 72.7 |
| Madison Stovall | - | 1 | 24.3 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 96.2 | 100.0 |
| Antaniece Jackson | - | 1 | 37.5 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | -2.0 | 72 | 3.8 | 23.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 30.4 | 33.3 |
| Liberty Miller | - | 1 | 34.1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | -7.0 | 14 | 2.0 | 3360.0 | 15.4 | 14.3 | 0 | -0.02 | 19.2 | 19.2 |
| Taniyah Mays | - | 1 | 34.6 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | -8.0 | - | - | - | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| Alida Torres | - | 1 | 35.9 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| Kiara Ray | - | 1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG