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Ecclesia

Season: 2026 2024 2019 2016 2015
Also known as: Ecclesia
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 960 (#389) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 872 (#461) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 957 (#547) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -47.2 (#686) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#760) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -75.2 More → 0.000 (#532) NetEff -75.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -89.9 More → 0.000 (#769) AdjNet -89.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -89.1 More → 0.000 (#769) AdjNet -89.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 35.3 | AdjD 84.1 More → 0.012 (#760) AdjO 35.3 | AdjD 84.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 51.7 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.181 (#673) AdjO 51.7 | AdjD 68.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.022 (#695) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.031 (#695) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 304 | GP 2 More → 830 (#444) RD 304 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-29 @ Christian Brothers L 36 - 98

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lillie Taylor - 1 34.1 11.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 100.0 100.0 - 72.0 50.0
Kaidence Prendergast - 1 34.1 8.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 8.0 1.0 - - - 37.5 0.0 40.0 - 39.2 37.5
Antaniece Jackson - 1 31.5 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 61 2.9 21.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 0.82 60.8 62.5
Taniyah Mays - 1 26.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -2.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 31.2 31.2
Liberty Miller - 1 39.5 5.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 -28 -1.2 -13.7 50.0 33.3 0 -1.03 62.5 62.5
Alida Torres - 1 20.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 2.0 -5.0 -28 -1.6 -38.2 0.0 0.0 0 -2.06 0.0 0.0
Desirae Reed - 1 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG