🐻⬇️🏀

Eastern

Also known as: Eastern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 977 (#285) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 885 (#483) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 884 (#626) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -12.9 (#309) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -14.7 (#551) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.101 (#631) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.8 More → 0.202 (#451) NetEff -8.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.5 More → 0.050 (#603) AdjNet -25.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.1 More → 0.043 (#603) AdjNet -26.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 50.9 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.197 (#588) AdjO 50.9 | AdjD 66.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.293 (#608) AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.282 (#543) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.261 (#563) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 858 (#455) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Transylvania W 95 - 41
2025-11-08 @ Lancaster Bible W 69 - 46
2025-11-12 @ Penn St.-Berks W 72 - 51
2025-11-15 @ Roanoke L 52 - 85
2025-11-16 vs Hollins L 51 - 65
2025-11-20 vs Muhlenberg L 39 - 59
2025-11-22 @ McDaniel L 38 - 73
2025-11-25 vs Bryn Mawr W 63 - 48
2025-12-02 @ Neumann W 57 - 53
2025-12-16 vs Susquehanna L 51 - 67
2025-12-20 @ Saint Elizabeth L 49 - 56
2026-01-10 vs Albright L 63 - 70
2026-01-14 vs Widener L 63 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Stevenson L 53 - 62
2026-01-21 @ Messiah L 40 - 78
2026-01-24 @ Hood W 68 - 59
2026-01-28 vs Alvernia W 70 - 54
2026-01-31 @ Albright L 44 - 75
2026-02-04 @ Widener L 54 - 70
2026-02-07 vs Stevenson L 61 - 64

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Liz Freihofer - 1 24.7 19.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 12.0 - - - 50.0 66.7 50.0 - 73.8 75.0
Kenleigh Woods - 1 25.6 16.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 13.0 38 2.4 7.5 75.0 50.0 100.0 -1.25 90.1 87.5
Jeriyah Johnson - 19 32.1 15.3 3.1 3.1 1.8 0.1 3.2 14.7 5.4 -41 -2.0 -9.7 35.7 30.4 69.4 -2.72 45.7 41.2
Althea Kara Angeles - 1 19.7 12.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 16.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 120.0 120.0
Madison Lewis - 1 16.6 10.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 72.7 66.7
Ndidiamaka Ndukwe - 1 6.8 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 72.7 75.0
Joseana Vaz - 1 23.8 9.0 8.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 11.0 - - - 44.4 20.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Adriana Summersett - 19 26.3 8.9 4.4 1.3 1.1 0.2 2.4 10.3 3.1 59 2.8 22.9 29.7 27.9 87.0 2.03 41.4 38.5
Jasmine Jordan - 1 15.7 8.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 - - - 80.0 0 0 - 80.0 80.0
Tychelle Gordon - 18 18.4 6.8 6.7 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.6 5.1 8.5 -11 -0.6 -4.6 49.5 0 65.3 2.07 54.2 49.5
Madeline Wylie - 19 22.7 6.4 7.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.7 6.2 7.4 -2 -0.1 -0.7 39.8 0 69.2 -1.84 44.8 39.8
Ella Bradley - 1 21.7 6.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
Ariyana Hester - 18 21.3 5.0 3.2 2.1 2.1 0.1 3.0 6.2 3.3 40 2.0 13.5 29.5 26.3 51.9 1.35 36.3 33.9
Damiyae Moyet - 18 26.5 4.9 3.7 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.3 7.2 1.8 -8 -0.4 -2.0 20.9 23.9 82.4 -3.5 32.6 29.1
Sophia Vera - 19 24.9 4.0 4.0 0.9 1.2 0.3 2.6 4.3 3.5 33 1.6 9.3 25.6 21.7 59.2 2.45 36.7 28.7
Love Mays - 1 15.7 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 20.0 33.3 0 - 30.0 30.0
Kayla Martinez - 8 6.7 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.4 0.4 - - - 31.6 25.0 0 - 42.1 42.1
Kailani Lindsey - 1 17.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Aarin Manuel - 15 14.9 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.9 3.5 -0.7 -24 -1.4 -12.2 18.9 18.2 25.0 -1.13 22.8 22.6
Dominique Geiger - 19 9.6 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.8 1.1 -39 -1.9 -65.9 34.3 50.0 27.8 0.14 34.9 35.7
Monica Mercado - 5 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.4 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Emily Brownell - 3 2.9 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.3 -0.3 - - - 25.0 100.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Maiah Madison - 6 5.4 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Bianca Pacheco - 4 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 - - - 25.0 50.0 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
Kendall Williams - 7 6.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 -38 -4.2 -3257.1 20.0 0.0 75.0 0.04 37.0 20.0
Sanej Tyler - 4 2.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.2 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Hope Gaither - 13 4.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 -16 -1.1 -47.1 0.0 0 100.0 -1.78 20.5 0.0
Amelia Leister - 3 3.2 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Zyniah Thomas - 1 12.7 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG