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Eastern

Also known as: Eastern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 870 (#498) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 879 (#471) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 884 (#626) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -12.8 (#335) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -14.7 (#551) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.101 (#631) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.8 More → 0.202 (#451) NetEff -8.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.5 More → 0.050 (#603) AdjNet -25.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.1 More → 0.043 (#603) AdjNet -26.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 50.9 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.197 (#588) AdjO 50.9 | AdjD 66.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.293 (#608) AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.282 (#543) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.261 (#562) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 848 (#465) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Transylvania - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Lancaster Bible - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ Penn St.-Berks - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Roanoke - Incomplete score
2025-11-16 vs Hollins - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 vs Muhlenberg - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ McDaniel - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Bryn Mawr - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 @ Neumann - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs Susquehanna - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Saint Elizabeth - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Albright - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Widener - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Stevenson - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Messiah - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Hood - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Alvernia - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Albright - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Widener - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Stevenson - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeriyah Johnson - 19 32.1 15.3 3.1 3.1 1.8 0.1 3.2 14.7 5.4 -41 -2.0 -9.7 35.7 30.4 69.4 -3.17 45.7 41.2
Adriana Summersett - 19 26.3 8.9 4.4 1.3 1.1 0.2 2.4 10.3 3.1 59 2.8 22.9 29.7 27.9 87.0 5.09 41.4 38.5
Tychelle Gordon - 18 18.4 6.8 6.7 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.6 5.1 8.5 -11 -0.6 -4.6 49.5 0 65.3 -1.11 54.2 49.5
Madeline Wylie - 19 22.7 6.4 7.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.7 6.2 7.4 -2 -0.1 -0.7 39.8 0 69.2 -0.19 44.8 39.8
Ariyana Hester - 18 21.3 5.0 3.2 2.1 2.1 0.1 3.0 6.2 3.3 40 2.0 13.5 29.5 26.3 51.9 2.37 36.3 33.9
Damiyae Moyet - 18 26.5 4.9 3.7 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.3 7.2 1.8 -8 -0.4 -2.0 20.9 23.9 82.4 -2.27 32.6 29.1
Sophia Vera - 19 24.9 4.0 4.0 0.9 1.2 0.3 2.6 4.3 3.5 33 1.6 9.3 25.6 21.7 59.2 0.81 36.7 28.7
Kayla Martinez - 8 6.7 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.4 0.4 - - - 31.6 25.0 0 0.05 42.1 42.1
Aarin Manuel - 15 14.9 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.9 3.5 -0.7 -24 -1.4 -12.2 18.9 18.2 25.0 -0.98 22.8 22.6
Dominique Geiger - 19 9.6 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.8 1.1 -39 -1.9 -65.9 34.3 50.0 27.8 -3.14 34.9 35.7
Monica Mercado - 5 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.4 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 -3.43 100.0 100.0
Emily Brownell - 3 2.9 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.3 -0.3 - - - 25.0 100.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Maiah Madison - 6 5.4 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Bianca Pacheco - 4 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 - - - 25.0 50.0 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
Kendall Williams - 7 6.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 -38 -4.2 -3257.1 20.0 0.0 75.0 -4.89 37.0 20.0
Sanej Tyler - 4 2.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.2 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 -1.67 26.6 0.0
Hope Gaither - 13 4.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 -16 -1.1 -47.1 0.0 0 100.0 -2.82 20.5 0.0
Amelia Leister - 3 3.2 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG