Eastern Washington
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 773 (#285) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 779 (#311) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 937 (#255) | HCA +102 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -9.5 (#297) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.1 (#284) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.300 (#262) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.168 (#291) | AdjNet -13.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.165 (#291) | AdjNet -14.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.309 (#297) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.404 (#261) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.270 (#292) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.287 (#286) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 788 (#308) | RD 148 | GP 31 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Justin Crosgile
|
G | 12 | 36.0 | 14.7 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 24.1 | -82 | 8 | -10.2 | -14.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.14 | 1560.3 | 83.3 |
Venky Jois
|
F | 28 | 32.7 | 12.3 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 22.7 | -106 | 22 | -4.8 | -6.8 | 55.0 | 0 | 62.5 | -0.59 | 396.4 | 55.0 |
Colin Chiverton
|
F | 24 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 11.2 | -65 | 19 | -3.4 | -9.2 | 41.7 | 45.5 | 87.5 | -0.47 | 326.4 | 55.6 |
Parker Kelly
|
G | 30 | 28.1 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 11.9 | -116 | 23 | -5.0 | -7.9 | 38.9 | 38.5 | 66.7 | -4.08 | 735.0 | 52.8 |
Martin Seiferth
|
F | 31 | 22.9 | 8.2 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 15.4 | -96 | 24 | -4.0 | -8.0 | 72.7 | 0 | 46.2 | -2.88 | 458.2 | 72.7 |
Tyler Harvey
|
G | 20 | 14.8 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 11.2 | 6 | 17 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.66 | 7450.0 | 0.0 |
Jeffrey Forbes
|
G | 26 | 28.2 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 10.0 | -48 | 21 | -2.3 | -4.5 | 44.1 | 47.6 | 75.0 | 0.87 | 244.7 | 58.8 |
Kevin Winford
|
G | 24 | 21.4 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 8.9 | -48 | 18 | -2.7 | -5.8 | 51.7 | 47.1 | 60.0 | -1.05 | 243.6 | 65.5 |
Thomas Reuter
|
F | 31 | 22.2 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 8.5 | -92 | 24 | -3.8 | -8.0 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 44.4 | -2.77 | 346.4 | 32.5 |
Danny Powell
|
- | 5 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 333.3 | 0.0 |
Jordan Hickert
|
F | 29 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 4.9 | -40 | 23 | -1.7 | -8.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.95 | 550.0 | 75.0 |
Ivan Dorsey
|
- | 16 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 350.0 | 0.0 |
Daniel Hill
|
G | 22 | 11.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.8 | -64 | 19 | -3.4 | -12.9 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | -3.86 | 325.0 | 16.7 |
Frederik Jorg
|
C | 16 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | -2 | 12 | -0.2 | -3.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG