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Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Program History
Coach: Jeff Neubauer

2015 Team Stats (2 games)

60.5
PPG
63.0
Opp
-2.5
Margin
37.1%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
64.3%
FT%
32.5
RPG
12.0
APG
10.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.4
Adj PPG
63.8
Adj Opp PPG
#145
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1103 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1048 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1052 (#100) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +1.3 (#146) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +2.3 (#136) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.670 (#89) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.9 More → 0.554 (#144) AdjNet +1.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.8 More → 0.553 (#144) AdjNet +1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 63.8 More → 0.535 (#145) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 63.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 63.0 More → 0.563 (#112) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 63.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.563 (#134) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.569 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 31 More → 1043 (#139) RD 105 | GP 31

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Savannah State Tigers W 76 - 53
2014-11-18 vs Kentucky Christian Knights W 115 - 35
2014-11-22 vs Cincinnati Clermont Cougars W 115 - 50
2014-11-26 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 73 - 64
2014-11-29 @ BYU Cougars L 76 - 90
2014-12-03 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 66 - 72
2014-12-07 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 49 - 82
2014-12-13 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 73 - 64
2014-12-16 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 60 - 63
2014-12-19 @ Miami Hurricanes W 72 - 44
2014-12-22 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 66 - 69
2014-12-30 @ Coppin State Eagles W 66 - 63
2015-01-03 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 63 - 52
2015-01-08 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 66 - 58
2015-01-10 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 68 - 55
2015-01-15 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 65 - 72
2015-01-17 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 78 - 62
2015-01-22 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 67 - 71
2015-01-24 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 81 - 83
2015-01-29 @ Murray State Racers L 78 - 85
2015-01-31 @ Morehead State Eagles W 66 - 57
2015-02-05 vs Belmont Bruins W 81 - 69
2015-02-07 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 77 - 72
2015-02-11 vs Morehead State Eagles W 69 - 57
2015-02-14 @ Tennessee State Tigers W 69 - 41
2015-02-17 vs Austin Peay Governors - Postponed
2015-02-19 @ Belmont Bruins L 61 - 66
2015-02-23 vs Austin Peay Governors W 76 - 64
2015-02-26 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 63 - 57
2015-02-28 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 70 - 67
2015-03-06 vs Belmont Bruins L 52 - 53
2015-03-17 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 81 - 75
2015-03-20 vs High Point Panthers W 66 - 65
2015-03-25 vs UT Martin Skyhawks L 69 - 70

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Walden C. Walden G 25 34.2 17.9 3.9 4.0 2.7 0.1 2.2 1.9 24.4 140 21 6.7 8.4 47.9 30.4 88.0 1.94 378.8 55.2
E. Stutz E. Stutz F 25 31.2 15.9 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.7 2.1 1.2 22.0 139 22 6.3 8.3 64.5 66.7 43.8 0.77 521.8 71.0
T. Knipp T. Knipp G 26 29.4 10.5 4.0 1.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.4 15.7 163 22 7.4 11.2 38.9 44.0 83.3 3.62 352.0 54.2
J. Powell J. Powell G 26 22.6 8.6 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 1.5 1.1 10.3 76 22 3.5 6.9 28.6 46.2 100.0 -1.31 374.7 39.3
J. Babb-Harrison J. Babb-Harrison G 16 14.3 6.9 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.9 1.0 9.0 25 14 1.8 9.9 12.5 0.0 0 -0.07 343.8 12.5
D. Richardson D. Richardson G 26 19.9 6.5 2.7 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.4 1.1 8.0 -9 22 -0.4 -1.0 42.9 41.7 50.0 -5.49 294.3 51.8
I. McGlone I. McGlone G 26 28.7 5.8 2.5 2.7 1.7 0.1 1.2 0.7 10.8 117 22 5.3 7.8 47.4 50.0 0.0 0.58 390.9 68.4
J. Hood J. Hood G 11 8.3 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 3.0 18 8 2.2 12.3 22.2 0.0 0 -0.12 150.0 22.2
P. Jackson P. Jackson G 20 9.8 1.8 0.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.1 3.6 48 15 3.2 10.6 33.3 50.0 0.0 1.99 523.3 50.0
D. Norl D. Norl G 8 8.8 1.5 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.1 3.1 -6 5 -1.2 -15.1 0.0 0 0 -2.1 600.0 0.0
D. Muff D. Muff G 25 11.0 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 3.2 -60 22 -2.7 -11.1 42.9 0 50.0 -6.89 177.7 42.9
T. Matthews T. Matthews G 26 5.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.8 -66 21 -3.1 -24.4 0 0 0 -6.8 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG