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Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Also known as: Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Program History

2014 Team Stats (5 games)

73.4
PPG
76.0
Opp
-2.6
Margin
45.0%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
76.8%
FT%
25.0
RPG
12.8
APG
9.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.3
Adj PPG
70.0
Adj Opp PPG
#129
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1139 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1126 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1123 (#32) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +2.1 (#134) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +5.7 (#91) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.682 (#69) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.537 (#155) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.2 More โ†’ 0.536 (#156) AdjNet +1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 70.0 More โ†’ 0.553 (#129) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 70.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 68.3 More โ†’ 0.619 (#63) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 68.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.626 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.639 (#91) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 121 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1114 (#92) RD 121 | GP 32

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Florida International Panthers W 83 - 61
2013-11-09 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 68 - 60
2013-11-10 vs Youngstown State Penguins L 67 - 75
2013-11-13 vs Warren Wilson Owls W 114 - 45
2013-11-16 vs High Point Panthers W 74 - 67
2013-11-19 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 82 - 68
2013-11-22 vs Brescia Bearcats W 95 - 56
2013-11-30 @ NC State Wolfpack L 56 - 75
2013-12-05 @ VCU Rams L 68 - 71
2013-12-07 @ Longwood Lancers W 76 - 67
2013-12-14 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 61 - 86
2013-12-18 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 84 - 73
2013-12-29 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 90 - 68
2014-01-02 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 100 - 81
2014-01-04 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 79 - 85
2014-01-08 vs Murray State Racers L 64 - 77
2014-01-11 @ Morehead State Eagles W 76 - 65
2014-01-16 vs Belmont Bruins W 74 - 63
2014-01-18 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 60 - 56
2014-01-23 @ Tennessee State Tigers W 94 - 78
2014-01-25 @ Belmont Bruins L 81 - 84
2014-01-30 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 89 - 66
2014-02-01 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 79 - 78
2014-02-04 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 74 - 63
2014-02-08 vs Morehead State Eagles L 79 - 86
2014-02-13 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 66 - 72
2014-02-15 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 86 - 65
2014-02-22 @ Austin Peay Governors W 96 - 75
2014-02-27 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 74 - 67
2014-03-01 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 70 - 66
2014-03-06 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 84 - 76
2014-03-07 @ Murray State Racers W 86 - 83
2014-03-08 @ Belmont Bruins W 79 - 73
2014-03-21 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 69 - 80

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Cosey G. Cosey G 26 36.0 19.1 2.7 4.0 1.2 0.1 1.5 4.9 20.6 120 24 5.0 5.9 40.2 37.3 81.6 1.87 166.9 51.2
C. Walden C. Walden G 26 32.0 13.8 4.0 3.2 2.2 0.0 2.1 3.5 17.7 114 24 4.8 6.4 46.2 29.0 83.8 1.51 167.3 51.1
T. Johnson T. Johnson G 26 25.0 10.1 3.6 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.1 2.9 11.9 79 24 3.3 5.5 50.7 32.0 70.8 -0.45 153.1 56.0
M. Lewis M. Lewis G 26 26.8 9.6 2.1 1.5 1.7 0.3 1.2 2.5 11.5 41 24 1.7 2.8 40.6 23.8 70.8 -2.3 167.7 44.5
E. Stutz E. Stutz F 26 26.2 9.4 4.9 1.8 0.8 0.7 1.5 2.0 14.2 54 24 2.2 3.7 59.6 100.0 82.6 -0.72 196.4 60.6
O. Williams O. Williams G 26 20.2 8.7 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 2.9 8.8 98 24 4.1 9.2 46.7 41.0 82.8 1.57 129.3 57.3
T. Knipp T. Knipp G 23 10.6 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 4.3 34 22 1.5 6.6 45.0 42.9 100.0 -1.23 200.6 60.0
I. McGlone I. McGlone G 25 10.3 2.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 3.1 7 22 0.3 1.4 40.0 33.3 83.3 -2.2 155.9 53.3
H. Harrison H. Harrison - 2 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 200.0 0.0
J. Johnson J. Johnson F 26 9.6 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 3.0 54 24 2.2 9.4 33.3 30.0 80.0 0.67 88.4 40.5
D. Muff D. Muff G 17 4.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 1.5 -10 19 -0.5 -8.0 33.3 0 16.7 -3.44 106.4 33.3
T. Matthews T. Matthews G 7 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 -11 5 -2.2 -82.0 0.0 0 50.0 -2.14 68.7 0.0
R. Parsons R. Parsons G 8 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 -11 5 -2.2 -82.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.14 38.7 0.0
R. Stenzel R. Stenzel G 4 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
H. Harrison H. Harrison F 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.12 0.0 0.0
M. Burney M. Burney G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG