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Eastern Kentucky

Also known as: Eastern Kentucky Colonels, Eastern Kentucky
Program History

2014 Team Stats (5 games)

73.4
PPG
76.0
Opp
-2.6
Margin
45.0%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
76.8%
FT%
25.0
RPG
12.8
APG
9.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.3
Adj PPG
70.0
Adj Opp PPG
#129
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1139 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1126 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1123 (#32) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +2.1 (#134) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +5.7 (#91) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.682 (#69) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.537 (#155) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.2 More โ†’ 0.536 (#156) AdjNet +1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 70.0 More โ†’ 0.553 (#129) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 70.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 68.3 More โ†’ 0.619 (#63) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 68.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.626 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.639 (#91) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 121 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1114 (#92) RD 121 | GP 32

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Florida International Panthers W 83 - 61
2013-11-09 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 68 - 60
2013-11-10 vs Youngstown State Penguins L 67 - 75
2013-11-13 vs Warren Wilson Owls W 114 - 45
2013-11-16 vs High Point Panthers W 74 - 67
2013-11-19 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 82 - 68
2013-11-22 vs Brescia Bearcats W 95 - 56
2013-11-30 @ NC State Wolfpack L 56 - 75
2013-12-05 @ VCU Rams L 68 - 71
2013-12-07 @ Longwood Lancers W 76 - 67
2013-12-14 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 61 - 86
2013-12-18 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 84 - 73
2013-12-29 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 90 - 68
2014-01-02 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 100 - 81
2014-01-04 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 79 - 85
2014-01-08 vs Murray State Racers L 64 - 77
2014-01-11 @ Morehead State Eagles W 76 - 65
2014-01-16 vs Belmont Bruins W 74 - 63
2014-01-18 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 60 - 56
2014-01-23 @ Tennessee State Tigers W 94 - 78
2014-01-25 @ Belmont Bruins L 81 - 84
2014-01-30 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 89 - 66
2014-02-01 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 79 - 78
2014-02-04 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 74 - 63
2014-02-08 vs Morehead State Eagles L 79 - 86
2014-02-13 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 66 - 72
2014-02-15 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 86 - 65
2014-02-22 @ Austin Peay Governors W 96 - 75
2014-02-27 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 74 - 67
2014-03-01 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 70 - 66
2014-03-06 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 84 - 76
2014-03-07 @ Murray State Racers W 86 - 83
2014-03-08 @ Belmont Bruins W 79 - 73
2014-03-21 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 69 - 80

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Glenn Cosey Glenn Cosey G 26 36.0 19.1 2.7 4.0 1.2 0.1 1.5 4.9 20.6 120 24 5.0 5.9 40.2 37.3 81.6 1.87 166.9 51.2
Corey Walden Corey Walden G 26 32.0 13.8 4.0 3.2 2.2 0.0 2.1 3.5 17.7 114 24 4.8 6.4 46.2 29.0 83.8 1.51 167.3 51.1
Tarius Johnson Tarius Johnson G 26 25.0 10.1 3.6 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.1 2.9 11.9 79 24 3.3 5.5 50.7 32.0 70.8 -0.45 153.1 56.0
Marcus Lewis Marcus Lewis G 26 26.8 9.6 2.1 1.5 1.7 0.3 1.2 2.5 11.5 41 24 1.7 2.8 40.6 23.8 70.8 -2.3 167.7 44.5
Eric Stutz Eric Stutz F 26 26.2 9.4 4.9 1.8 0.8 0.7 1.5 2.0 14.2 54 24 2.2 3.7 59.6 100.0 82.6 -0.72 196.4 60.6
Orlando Williams Orlando Williams G 26 20.2 8.7 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 2.9 8.8 98 24 4.1 9.2 46.7 41.0 82.8 1.57 129.3 57.3
Timmy Knipp Timmy Knipp G 23 10.6 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 4.3 34 22 1.5 6.6 45.0 42.9 100.0 -1.23 200.6 60.0
Isaac McGlone Isaac McGlone G 25 10.3 2.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 3.1 7 22 0.3 1.4 40.0 33.3 83.3 -2.2 155.9 53.3
Herb Harrison Herb Harrison - 2 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 200.0 0.0
Jeff Johnson Jeff Johnson F 26 9.6 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 3.0 54 24 2.2 9.4 33.3 30.0 80.0 0.67 88.4 40.5
Deverin Muff Deverin Muff G 17 4.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 1.5 -10 19 -0.5 -8.0 33.3 0 16.7 -3.44 106.4 33.3
Tommy Matthews Tommy Matthews G 7 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 -11 5 -2.2 -82.0 0.0 0 50.0 -2.14 68.7 0.0
Ryan Parsons Ryan Parsons G 8 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 -11 5 -2.2 -82.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.14 38.7 0.0
Robbie Stenzel Robbie Stenzel G 4 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Herb Harrison Herb Harrison F 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.12 0.0 0.0
Monte Burney Monte Burney G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG