Eastern Kentucky Colonels
2014 Team Stats (5 games)
73.4
PPG
76.0
Opp
-2.6
Margin
45.0%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
76.8%
FT%
25.0
RPG
12.8
APG
9.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.3
Adj PPG
70.0
Adj Opp PPG
#129
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2013-2014
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1139 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1126 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1123 (#32) | HCA +92 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +2.1 (#134) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +5.7 (#91) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.682 (#69) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.537 (#155) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.536 (#156) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.553 (#129) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.619 (#63) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.626 (#106) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.639 (#91) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1114 (#92) | RD 121 | GP 32 |
2014 Schedule & Results
2014 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G. Cosey
|
G | 26 | 36.0 | 19.1 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 20.6 | 120 | 24 | 5.0 | 5.9 | 40.2 | 37.3 | 81.6 | 1.87 | 166.9 | 51.2 |
C. Walden
|
G | 26 | 32.0 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 17.7 | 114 | 24 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 46.2 | 29.0 | 83.8 | 1.51 | 167.3 | 51.1 |
T. Johnson
|
G | 26 | 25.0 | 10.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 11.9 | 79 | 24 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 50.7 | 32.0 | 70.8 | -0.45 | 153.1 | 56.0 |
M. Lewis
|
G | 26 | 26.8 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 11.5 | 41 | 24 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 40.6 | 23.8 | 70.8 | -2.3 | 167.7 | 44.5 |
E. Stutz
|
F | 26 | 26.2 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 14.2 | 54 | 24 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 59.6 | 100.0 | 82.6 | -0.72 | 196.4 | 60.6 |
O. Williams
|
G | 26 | 20.2 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 8.8 | 98 | 24 | 4.1 | 9.2 | 46.7 | 41.0 | 82.8 | 1.57 | 129.3 | 57.3 |
T. Knipp
|
G | 23 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 34 | 22 | 1.5 | 6.6 | 45.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -1.23 | 200.6 | 60.0 |
I. McGlone
|
G | 25 | 10.3 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 7 | 22 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 83.3 | -2.2 | 155.9 | 53.3 |
H. Harrison
|
- | 2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 200.0 | 0.0 |
J. Johnson
|
F | 26 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 54 | 24 | 2.2 | 9.4 | 33.3 | 30.0 | 80.0 | 0.67 | 88.4 | 40.5 |
D. Muff
|
G | 17 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | -10 | 19 | -0.5 | -8.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 16.7 | -3.44 | 106.4 | 33.3 |
T. Matthews
|
G | 7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | -11 | 5 | -2.2 | -82.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.14 | 68.7 | 0.0 |
R. Parsons
|
G | 8 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -11 | 5 | -2.2 | -82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.14 | 38.7 | 0.0 |
R. Stenzel
|
G | 4 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
H. Harrison
|
F | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
M. Burney
|
G | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG