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Eastern Conn. St.

Also known as: Eastern Conn. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1098 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1117 (#114) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1030 (#247) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +2.7 (#87) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -0.6 (#359) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.436 (#509) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.6 More → 0.295 (#457) AdjNet -7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.8 More → 0.288 (#458) AdjNet -7.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 74.9 More → 0.364 (#473) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 74.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 74.5 More → 0.575 (#250) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 74.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.571 (#338) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.570 (#339) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 1079 (#237) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ SUNY New Paltz W 92 - 79
2025-11-12 vs JWU (Providence) W 93 - 58
2025-11-15 vs Mitchell W 76 - 63
2025-11-18 @ Trinity (CT) L 69 - 99
2025-11-25 vs Connecticut Col. W 95 - 82
2025-12-03 @ WestConn W 78 - 73
2025-12-06 @ Western New Eng. W 74 - 56
2025-12-07 @ Norwich W 73 - 55
2025-12-29 vs Penn College W 86 - 57
2025-12-30 vs Nichols W 77 - 68
2026-01-03 vs UMass Boston L 79 - 83
2026-01-06 vs UMass Dartmouth L 82 - 94
2026-01-08 @ Keene St. L 72 - 79
2026-01-10 @ Plymouth St. W 74 - 66
2026-01-14 vs VTSU Castleton W 77 - 42
2026-01-17 @ Southern Me. L 70 - 81
2026-01-21 vs Rhode Island Col. L 92 - 99
2026-01-28 vs WestConn L 77 - 83
2026-01-31 @ UMass Boston L 71 - 81
2026-02-04 @ UMass Dartmouth W 96 - 86
2026-02-07 vs Southern Me. W 88 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Xavier Mendez - 1 36.0 27.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 26.0 6 0.3 1.3 60.0 33.3 80.0 0.66 69.6 63.3
Dominic Mello - 1 39.0 24.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 15.0 -22 -1.0 -11.0 66.7 33.3 100.0 -1.39 82.0 75.0
Thomas Whelan - 2 38.5 21.0 5.5 3.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 10.5 16 1.1 4.3 39.3 37.5 94.4 0.16 58.5 44.6
Camden DiChiara - 1 30.0 20.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 11.0 11 0.8 3.2 54.5 75.0 100.0 0.02 75.8 68.2
Lorenzo Almonte - 2 28.5 20.0 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 14.0 11.5 126 15.8 812.9 64.3 50.0 75.0 -0.19 67.2 66.1
Noe Bom - 1 35.0 20.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 11.0 23 1.1 4.1 90.0 100.0 100.0 0.83 95.8 95.0
Ryan Flauto - 1 27.0 19.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 17.0 19 1.1 6.1 100.0 0 50.0 1.77 96.2 100.0
Javen Flowers-Smith - 1 32.0 17.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 19.0 6.0 4 0.2 2.5 26.3 66.7 62.5 0.6 37.7 31.6
Danny Reyes - 1 38.0 17.0 5.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 18.0 -20 -1.1 -5.0 54.5 50.0 57.1 0.82 60.4 59.1
Loudon Chupas - 1 32.0 17.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 10.0 47 2.1 12.1 63.6 50.0 40.0 1.95 64.4 68.2
Julian Sanchez - 8 25.9 16.2 8.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 1.4 10.9 15.0 36 2.4 26.9 58.6 28.6 81.5 -2.85 65.7 62.1
Nic Boyd - 1 32.0 16.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 4.0 9 0.5 2.1 50.0 33.3 0 1.94 57.1 57.1
Jalen Hamblin - 8 29.1 15.9 8.5 1.2 1.1 0.5 1.6 12.0 13.6 44 3.1 34.3 47.9 16.7 76.7 1.79 55.3 49.0
Dominick Dao - 8 31.7 15.5 4.1 2.0 1.1 0.6 1.6 12.5 9.2 30 2.0 17.9 45.0 40.4 73.3 -0.94 58.2 56.5
Troy Butler - 1 32.0 15.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 4.0 49 2.9 18.8 38.5 33.3 57.1 2.87 46.6 42.3
Marcel Henry - 1 26.0 15.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 11.0 102 5.7 30.6 50.0 0 100.0 -0.07 61.5 50.0
Skyler Venezia - 1 25.0 14.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 -22 -1.5 -19.2 57.1 50.0 75.0 -0.73 79.9 78.6
Will Radcliff - 1 32.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 18.0 2.0 -76 -4.0 -20.2 33.3 0.0 100.0 2.23 37.1 33.3
Greg Cantwell - 1 31.0 14.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 13.0 -7 -0.4 -2.9 33.3 20.0 71.4 -0.42 46.4 37.5
Elias Espinosa - 1 28.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 7.0 -27 -1.6 -12.1 66.7 50.0 71.4 0.29 77.1 75.0
Carter Galley - 2 22.0 14.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 7.5 8.5 60 4.0 24.3 60.0 66.7 100.0 0.94 75.6 66.7
Mahdee McNair - 1 29.0 13.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 11.0 -13 -0.8 -5.5 50.0 0.0 60.0 0.47 53.3 50.0
Brandon Lee - 1 27.0 12.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 7.0 -31 -1.8 -8.6 50.0 0.0 0.0 -1.08 45.0 50.0
Noah Dowling - 2 27.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 9.0 9.5 82 5.5 32.6 44.4 40.0 100.0 2.65 63.6 61.1
Abdul Mansaray - 1 33.0 11.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 13.0 -43 -2.4 -18.2 55.6 0 33.3 -0.56 53.3 55.6
CJ Wilson - 1 36.0 11.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 15.0 -7 -0.3 -1.4 60.0 0 83.3 -0.42 72.0 60.0
Ray Carter - 9 24.8 10.2 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.0 1.8 9.1 3.9 30 1.9 12.7 36.6 44.0 83.3 0.36 52.7 50.0
Josh Shepherd - 1 16.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 -45 -3.5 -39.5 28.6 40.0 100.0 -1.29 57.1 42.9
Gabe Lash - 2 35.0 9.5 8.5 2.0 2.5 0.0 2.0 9.0 11.5 38 2.5 13.4 27.8 0.0 69.2 2.31 40.1 27.8
David Stallworth - 1 30.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 7.0 8 0.6 5.0 50.0 100.0 100.0 0.19 65.4 58.3
Tyriek Weeks - 1 16.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 54 2.5 9.8 57.1 33.3 0.0 -0.41 60.5 64.3
Andrew Hartel - 2 21.5 8.5 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 5.5 8.5 -10 -0.7 -5.3 63.6 0 60.0 -2.17 64.4 63.6
Ben Seiler - 1 20.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 2.0 -84 -4.7 -42.1 30.0 0.0 100.0 -3.38 36.8 30.0
Jalen Claude - 1 20.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 53 2.4 20.7 60.0 66.7 0 2.51 80.0 80.0
Drew Soltis - 8 18.7 6.2 4.9 0.6 0.2 0.6 2.2 5.1 5.2 -39 -2.6 -35.9 51.2 0 72.7 1.2 54.5 51.2
Luke Chapman - 1 33.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 1 0.0 0.6 42.9 0.0 0 0.2 42.9 42.9
Kauny Teng - 1 20.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 -39 -4.9 -36.7 37.5 0.0 0 -1.68 37.5 37.5
Camden Dunbury - 1 13.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 9.0 0 0.0 0.0 66.7 0 100.0 -0.98 77.3 66.7
Adam Bilodeau - 1 25.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 -1.0 -77 -4.1 -27.3 40.0 50.0 0 0.76 60.0 60.0
Zach Thompson - 1 26.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 -37 -1.9 -22.6 33.3 0.0 100.0 2.89 43.6 33.3
Adrian Alicea - 1 10.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -58 -3.9 -152.5 66.7 100.0 0 -1.69 100.0 100.0
Robert Blandburg - 1 24.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 - - - 22.2 0 50.0 - 27.9 22.2
Nick Boyce - 1 32.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 101 5.9 46.2 25.0 0 80.0 -0.55 48.4 25.0
Landon Reeder - 1 13.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 23 1.9 18.1 40.0 33.3 0.0 -1.11 42.5 50.0
Pedro Perry - 7 16.6 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.9 0.0 1.3 6.1 0.9 16 1.1 25.1 30.2 23.1 33.3 -0.49 37.2 37.2
Armaan Sandhu - 2 17.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.5 41 2.3 23.9 75.0 50.0 100.0 -1.24 92.2 87.5
Cydae Joseph-Davis - 1 13.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 -10 -0.7 -10.0 50.0 0 0 0.63 50.0 50.0
Ethan Minarik - 1 18.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -1.0 -19 -0.9 -20.5 40.0 0.0 0 -0.1 40.0 40.0
Olivier St. Louis - 1 16.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Mike Paquette - 1 17.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 21 1.0 10.2 50.0 0 100.0 0.12 69.4 50.0
Soul Diaby - 5 5.7 3.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.2 2.8 -11 -1.4 -40.5 63.6 100.0 23.1 -1.07 56.8 72.7
Michael Carothers - 8 29.2 3.6 3.0 6.4 1.1 0.1 1.8 3.4 9.1 25 1.7 13.2 37.0 37.5 54.5 0.97 45.5 42.6
Colby Bost - 1 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -2.0 -13 -0.9 -21.4 33.3 50.0 0 -0.53 50.0 50.0
Owen Newcomer - 1 22.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 18 1.3 11.8 100.0 100.0 0 0.26 150.0 150.0
Nazier Sanders - 1 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Jenssyn Shuey - 1 25.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jackson Doyle - 1 20.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -28 -1.6 -17.0 50.0 50.0 0 1.71 75.0 75.0
Conner McKearin - 1 21.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 -94 -5.2 -33.0 20.0 0.0 50.0 -1.94 25.5 20.0
Kyle Prete - 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -29 -1.3 -14.6 100.0 100.0 0 -0.86 150.0 150.0
Jonathan Chery - 1 12.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1 0.5 6.5 100.0 100.0 0 -0.19 150.0 150.0
Cedrick Similien - 8 9.6 2.6 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.8 13 1.0 24.5 50.0 50.0 83.3 -1.02 71.7 66.7
Eli Limric - 2 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 86.8 75.0
Neyshawn Mabry - 1 11.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -1 -0.1 -0.8 25.0 0.0 0 1.99 25.0 25.0
Noah Rudman - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -29 -3.2 -47.0 50.0 0.0 0 -0.34 50.0 50.0
Darius Peterson - 1 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3 0.2 1.8 0 0 100.0 -2.36 113.6 0
Joe Buxton - 1 19.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -1.0 -66 -3.7 -41.1 33.3 0.0 0 2.21 33.3 33.3
Jaxyn Beaudet - 1 11.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 17 0.9 16.6 33.3 0.0 0 -0.72 33.3 33.3
Tommy Daly - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 -48 -3.4 -59.4 100.0 0 0 -1.32 100.0 100.0
Collin Jefferson - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 -20 -1.0 -9.2 25.0 0.0 0 1.98 25.0 25.0
Luke Pavia - 1 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -52 -4.7 -201.0 50.0 0 0 -2.21 50.0 50.0
Zaveyn Tate - 1 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.74 53.2 0.0
Jahlyl Morgan - 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 88 5.9 56.6 33.3 0.0 0 1.03 33.3 33.3
Cohen Galley - 2 12.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 1.5 34 2.3 14.8 33.3 0.0 0.0 -0.4 29.1 33.3
Eli Evison - 1 1.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Cory O'Hehir - 3 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Javontae Jones - 8 9.4 1.1 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.9 1.4 30 2.1 184.1 20.0 0.0 75.0 -0.89 26.8 20.0
JJ Hay - 2 2.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Josiah Wright - 1 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 32 4.0 67.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.19 17.4 0.0
SaVahn Warren - 2 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Kendall Bratten - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0 -25 -2.8 -65.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.06 0.0 0.0
Kris Hayes - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -37 -2.8 -152.1 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
Rylan Price - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18 2.6 369.2 0 0 0 0.54 0 0
Johnathan Regis - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -1.5 -133.3 0 0 0 -0.67 0 0
Luke Staunch - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -4 -0.8 -56.5 0.0 0 0 -0.38 0.0 0.0
Cassidy Bonsu - 1 11.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 25 1.6 21.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.52 0.0 0.0
Anthony Zingarella - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -14 -0.8 -16.2 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
Mikell Orellus - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 -14 -2.8 -46.0 0.0 0 0 -0.81 0.0 0.0
Connor Walden - 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10 0.6 6.9 0.0 0.0 0 3.49 0.0 0.0
Jesse Basse - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -0.6 -11.9 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0
Strada Joseph - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 -21 -1.8 -29.6 0.0 0 0 1.01 0.0 0.0
Isaiah Makor - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7 0.6 40.6 0 0 0 0.74 0 0
Seamus Demauro - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -3 -0.2 -19.1 0.0 0 0 0.35 0.0 0.0
Jerrick Jacobs - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -22 -2.4 -190.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0
Ethan Lussier - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -7 -0.5 -5.5 0 0 0 -0.61 0 0
Hayden Lutz - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jake Oglesby - 1 16.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -58 -4.8 -77.8 0.0 0.0 0 -1.02 0.0 0.0
Matthew Carter - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -90 -12.9 -75.3 0 0 0 -0.69 0 0
Lukas Sward - 1 20.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -2.0 -85 -4.7 -43.7 0.0 0 0 -1.81 0.0 0.0
Esco Greene - 1 7.8 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Garrett Clar - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 5 0.3 2.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.56 0.0 0.0
Martin Wilson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16 3.2 290.9 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
Elijah Diallo - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.4 18.9 0 0 0 0.72 0 0
Emmanuel Ibidapo - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1 0.1 1.8 0.0 0 0 1.49 0.0 0.0
Jeremiah Graham - 1 5.6 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -4 -4.0 -28.6 0.0 0 0 -0.58 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG