East. Mennonite
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 962 (#440) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 894 (#502) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 916 (#657) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.3 (#238) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.0 (#564) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.144 (#707) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.127 (#599) | AdjNet -16.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.123 (#597) | AdjNet -16.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.252 (#591) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.326 (#649) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.259 (#619) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.264 (#623) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 860 (#512) | RD 106 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Mary Washington | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Mary Baldwin | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Southern Va. | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Methodist | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Carlow | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Stevenson | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | William Peace | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Lynchburg | L | 59 - 95 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Randolph | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Guilford | L | 68 - 89 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Averett | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | L | 44 - 60 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 46 - 95 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | L | 38 - 86 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 70 - 49 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Roanoke | L | 57 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Brooks | - | 20 | 35.5 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 11.8 | 9.2 | -84 | -4.0 | -19.1 | 41.1 | 26.2 | 76.7 | 0.15 | 50.6 | 44.5 |
| Isaiah Carr | - | 20 | 29.9 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 9.2 | 8.2 | -80 | -16.0 | -26.1 | 41.6 | 26.0 | 64.7 | -4.09 | 52.0 | 46.8 |
| Jazen Walker | - | 21 | 21.4 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 6.3 | -87 | -4.3 | -37.2 | 51.9 | 0 | 64.2 | 0.06 | 55.1 | 51.9 |
| Donovan Arnason | - | 16 | 20.5 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 6.3 | -62 | -3.9 | -30.7 | 50.0 | 37.5 | 62.8 | -0.93 | 58.1 | 55.2 |
| Hezekiah Brown | - | 21 | 23.3 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 38.1 | 35.0 | 63.3 | 1.67 | 47.1 | 44.2 |
| Zach Bailey | - | 20 | 21.7 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 5.0 | -40 | -2.0 | -14.5 | 39.8 | 25.0 | 61.5 | 0.33 | 45.3 | 44.0 |
| Edixon Gomez | - | 21 | 16.9 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 4.3 | -120 | -6.0 | -49.5 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 80.0 | -4.17 | 67.9 | 67.1 |
| BJ Nkrumah | - | 20 | 17.0 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 2.9 | -91 | -4.8 | -47.8 | 36.5 | 33.3 | 76.9 | -4.3 | 47.9 | 45.3 |
| Kai Johnson | - | 16 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | -57 | -4.4 | -42.2 | 23.3 | 13.0 | 66.7 | -0.75 | 30.3 | 28.3 |
| Mari Foxx | - | 14 | 8.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | -63 | -4.5 | -103.8 | 20.0 | 23.1 | 0.0 | -1.21 | 26.9 | 27.5 |
| Zach Perry | - | 10 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | -0.5 | -14 | -2.0 | -84.2 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Payton Lewis | - | 3 | 8.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | -2.7 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 10.6 | 11.1 |
| Jelanie Morgan | - | 7 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -6 | -1.2 | -13.3 | 40.0 | 0 | 16.7 | -0.66 | 32.7 | 40.0 |
| Micah Braxton | - | 16 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | -55 | -3.7 | -100.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.45 | 24.3 | 25.0 |
| Caden Frise | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Teko Bostick Jr. | - | 2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 19 | 1.3 | 102.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.03 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG