Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 977 (#244) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 869 (#475) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 950 (#480) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.3 (#315) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -39.4 (#593) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.005 (#683) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.027 (#705) | AdjNet -30.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.025 (#703) | AdjNet -30.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.093 (#711) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 94.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.206 (#581) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.100 (#582) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.110 (#582) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 770 (#477) | RD 284 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Conley | - | 1 | 40.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 38 | 1.7 | 16.4 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.44 | 44.0 | 36.4 |
| Shawn Jones | - | 2 | 20.3 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 7.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -4.3 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.52 | 55.1 | 36.4 |
| Jim Jackson | - | 2 | 20.3 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 7.0 | -16 | -3.2 | -15.3 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.11 | 55.1 | 36.4 |
| Camryn Ransom | - | 2 | 20.3 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 55.1 | 36.4 |
| Carlos Robles | - | 2 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 60.0 | - | 46.5 | 43.3 |
| Kenneth Ross | - | 2 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 76 | 3.3 | 19.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -0.11 | 46.5 | 43.3 |
| Mark Merrit | - | 1 | 29.9 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| J. West | - | 1 | 24.6 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 115 | 6.4 | 68.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 2.37 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Anthony James | - | 2 | 23.9 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 27.3 | 66.7 | - | 40.2 | 34.4 |
| Zach Patterson | - | 2 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Macias Ivory-Jones | - | 2 | 11.6 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Shawn Williams | - | 2 | 11.6 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -1.5 | 13 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 75.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.61 | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Gerald Tate | - | 2 | 11.6 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Marco Brown | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -17 | -1.1 | -89.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.77 | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Vasean Daniels | - | 2 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | - | 46.5 | 25.0 |
| Marquise Merritt | - | 1 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Keanu Gordon | - | 2 | 14.9 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -207 | -12.9 | -78.7 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | -1.12 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Victor Garrett | - | 2 | 9.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Devine Conley | - | 2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 38 | 1.7 | 16.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| G. Tate | - | 2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jaha Jackson | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -3.2 | -15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Maurice Merritt | - | 1 | 18.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Jackson | - | 2 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -3.0 | -16 | -3.2 | -15.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| C. Roberts | - | 2 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| KJ Ross | - | 2 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -3.0 | 76 | 3.3 | 19.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mike. Merrit | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG