East Tex. Baptist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1073 (#100) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1193 (#57) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1048 (#186) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.2 (#65) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.8 (#182) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.870 (#259) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.925 (#142) | NetEff +18.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.902 (#212) | AdjNet +19.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.902 (#213) | AdjNet +18.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.743 (#209) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.746 (#88) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 52.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.752 (#166) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.758 (#158) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1121 (#129) | RD 116 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 76 - 50 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Rhodes | W | 71 - 43 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Berea | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Ozarks (AR) | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Piedmont | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Concordia (TX) | W | 82 - 61 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Linfield | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 93 - 27 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | George Fox | W | 52 - 46 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Wis.-Eau Claire | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Trinity (TX) | W | 75 - 56 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Salve Regina | W | 81 - 46 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | W | 76 - 43 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 49 - 56 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macey Jones | - | 16 | 17.5 | 11.4 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 9.8 | 7.4 | -29 | -1.7 | -41.5 | 45.9 | 25.0 | 54.4 | 1.64 | 48.7 | 46.2 |
| Marley Keith | - | 16 | 30.3 | 9.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 5.1 | - | - | - | 45.3 | 38.3 | 68.9 | - | 56.7 | 53.0 |
| Hannah Ayala | - | 16 | 27.3 | 9.4 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 7.6 | 12.9 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 36.7 | 69.4 | - | 53.0 | 48.3 |
| Anna Beamesderfer | - | 16 | 21.7 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 15.4 | 79.7 | - | 54.0 | 45.5 |
| Tiffany Bickford | - | 16 | 29.4 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 5.4 | - | - | - | 34.5 | 26.6 | 85.7 | - | 46.1 | 40.5 |
| Sara Cowan | - | 16 | 29.8 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 41.8 | 70.0 | - | 63.5 | 62.0 |
| Tristan Smith | - | 16 | 26.0 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 11.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.2 | 31.2 | 84.6 | 1.92 | 69.6 | 60.2 |
| Ansley Reed | - | 1 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 90 | 5.0 | 20.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.64 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Reagan Eilers | - | 13 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.6 | 50.0 |
| Conley Gibson | - | 13 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 38.5 | 0 | - | 52.8 | 52.8 |
| Quinn Riddle | - | 11 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Sarai McClendon | - | 1 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Dana Barnett | - | 10 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Noelle Pletcher | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kat Strong | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG